AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga MX Feb 23, 2023

Cruz Azul

Home
VS
02:05

Atlas

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Cruz Azul Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Atlas Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 83%
Standings 67%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.41 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.2
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Cruz Azul Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
24%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Atlas Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (28%) 0-0 (20%) 2-0 (20%) 3-0 (9%) 1-1 (6%) 0-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 14%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Under 2.5 Goals 78%
Cruz Azul Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 18 Cruz Azul vs Puebla 1-3
Feb 12 Cruz Azul vs Toluca 3-1
Feb 05 Cruz Azul vs Tigres UA… 0-1
Dec 31 Cruz Azul vs Guadalaja… 0-2
Dec 23 Cruz Azul vs Toluca 1-1
Oct 09 Cruz Azul vs León FC 1-0
Oct 02 Cruz Azul vs Guadalaja… 2-1
Sep 16 Cruz Azul vs León FC 2-1
Sep 03 Cruz Azul vs FC Juarez 2-2
Aug 14 Cruz Azul vs Toluca 2-3
Atlas Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 13 Atlas vs Mazatlán … 2-1
Dec 21 Atlas vs Mazatlán … 2-1
Oct 02 Atlas vs Necaxa 1-0
Sep 08 Atlas vs Mazatlán … 1-0
Aug 21 Atlas vs Puebla 1-1
Jul 16 Atlas vs Cruz Azul 3-2
Jun 27 Atlas vs Cruz Azul 2-2
Apr 15 Atlas vs Mazatlán … 1-2
Apr 08 Atlas vs Necaxa 2-1
Apr 03 Atlas vs Cruz Azul 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Atlas in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jul 16, 2022 Atlas 3 - 2 Cruz Azul Liga MX
Jun 27, 2022 Atlas 2 - 2 Cruz Azul Campeón de Cam…
Apr 03, 2022 Cruz Azul 1 - 0 Atlas Liga MX
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Cruz Azul to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Cruz Azul Power 0
Atlas Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Cruz Azul Position

+1

Position Gap

3

Atlas Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.