AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga MX Jan 12, 2025

Cruz Azul

Home
VS
03:05

Atlas

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Cruz Azul Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Atlas Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 85%
Standings 67%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 32%
xG: 1.94 - 0.59
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 0.6
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Cruz Azul Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
14%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Atlas Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
55%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (15%) 2-0 (15%) 3-0 (10%) 1-1 (9%) 2-1 (9%) 0-0 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Under 2.5 Goals 55%
Cruz Azul Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 10 Cruz Azul vs Tigres UA… 1-1
Nov 07 Cruz Azul vs Atlas 2-2
Oct 27 Cruz Azul vs U.N.A.M. … 0-2
Oct 24 Cruz Azul vs FC Juarez 4-0
Oct 19 Cruz Azul vs Puebla 1-2
Sep 22 Cruz Azul vs Guadalaja… 1-0
Sep 15 Cruz Azul vs León FC 1-2
Jul 21 Cruz Azul vs Toluca 1-1
May 27 Cruz Azul vs Club Amér… 1-0
May 24 Cruz Azul vs Club Amér… 1-1
Atlas Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 28 Atlas vs Guadalaja… 0-0
Dec 23 Atlas vs Necaxa 1-2
Nov 22 Atlas vs Guadalaja… 1-2
Nov 10 Atlas vs Necaxa 0-0
Nov 07 Atlas vs Cruz Azul 2-2
Oct 19 Atlas vs Mazatlán … 0-0
Oct 06 Atlas vs Guadalaja… 2-3
Jul 20 Atlas vs Puebla 1-2
Apr 28 Atlas vs Guadalaja… 0-1
Apr 22 Atlas vs Cruz Azul 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Cruz Azul in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 07, 2024 Atlas 2 - 2 Cruz Azul Liga MX
Apr 22, 2024 Cruz Azul 2 - 2 Atlas Liga MX
Jul 02, 2023 Atlas 2 - 0 Cruz Azul Liga MX
May 06, 2023 Cruz Azul 0 - 1 Atlas Liga MX
Feb 23, 2023 Cruz Azul 1 - 0 Atlas Liga MX
Jul 16, 2022 Atlas 3 - 2 Cruz Azul Liga MX
Jun 27, 2022 Atlas 2 - 2 Cruz Azul Campeón de Cam…
Apr 03, 2022 Cruz Azul 1 - 0 Atlas Liga MX
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Cruz Azul to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Cruz Azul Power 0
Atlas Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Cruz Azul Position

+1

Position Gap

3

Atlas Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.