AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Paranaense - 1 Jan 21, 2023

Foz Do Iguacu

Home
VS
21:30

Aruko Sports

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Foz Do Iguacu Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Aruko Sports Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 83%
Standings 76%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 36%
xG: 2.89 - 1.69
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.9 vs 1.7
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Foz Do Iguacu Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
Aruko Sports Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (7%) 3-1 (7%) 2-2 (6%) 3-2 (6%) 1-1 (5%) 2-0 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 75%
Under 2.5 Goals 25%
Foz Do Iguacu Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jun 12 Foz Do Ig… vs Aruko Spo… 0-1
Jun 05 Foz Do Ig… vs Aruko Spo… 3-3
May 29 Foz Do Ig… vs Andraus B… 0-1
May 22 Foz Do Ig… vs Andraus B… 0-1
Apr 30 Foz Do Ig… vs Andraus B… 1-0
Apr 20 Foz Do Ig… vs Aruko Spo… 3-2
Aruko Sports Form 7.5%
Date Match Result
Jan 17 Aruko Spo… vs Athletico… 1-2
Jun 12 Aruko Spo… vs Foz Do Ig… 0-1
Jun 05 Aruko Spo… vs Foz Do Ig… 3-3
Apr 20 Aruko Spo… vs Foz Do Ig… 3-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Foz Do Iguacu in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jun 12, 2022 Aruko Sports 0 - 1 Foz Do Iguacu Paranaense - 2
Jun 05, 2022 Foz Do Iguacu 3 - 3 Aruko Sports Paranaense - 2
Apr 20, 2022 Aruko Sports 3 - 2 Foz Do Iguacu Paranaense - 2
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Foz Do Iguacu to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Foz Do Iguacu Power 0
Aruko Sports Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Foz Do Iguacu Position

+4

Position Gap

6

Aruko Sports Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.