AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League Cup Jan 14, 2026

Chelsea

Home
VS
20:00

Arsenal

Away
AI Predictions 39.6% Confidence
Chelsea Win
33.0%
Draw
27.4%
Arsenal Win
39.6%
Away Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 50%
Market 35%
Combined: 38% Draw Risk: 55%
Asian Handicap: Away -0.5
xG: 1.24 - 1.46
Key Insights
Asian Handicap: Away -0.5
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Chelsea Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
29%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Arsenal Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
23%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (12%) 0-1 (10%) 1-2 (9%) 1-0 (8%) 2-1 (8%) 0-2 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 55%
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
Under 2.5 Goals 50%
Chelsea Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 10 Chelsea vs Charlton 1-5
Jan 10 Chelsea vs Leicester 0-2
Jan 07 Chelsea vs Fulham 2-1
Jan 04 Chelsea vs Mancheste… 1-1
Dec 30 Chelsea vs Bournemou… 2-2
Dec 27 Chelsea vs Aston Vil… 1-2
Dec 20 Chelsea vs Newcastle… 2-2
Dec 16 Chelsea vs Cardiff 1-3
Dec 13 Chelsea vs Everton 2-0
Dec 09 Chelsea vs Atalanta 2-1
Arsenal Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 08 Arsenal vs Liverpool 0-0
Jan 03 Arsenal vs Bournemou… 2-3
Dec 30 Arsenal vs Aston Vil… 4-1
Dec 27 Arsenal vs Brighton 2-1
Dec 23 Arsenal vs Crystal P… 1-1
Dec 20 Arsenal vs Everton 0-1
Dec 13 Arsenal vs Wolves 2-1
Dec 06 Arsenal vs Aston Vil… 2-1
Dec 03 Arsenal vs Brentford 2-0
Nov 30 Arsenal vs Chelsea 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Arsenal in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 30, 2025 Chelsea 1 - 1 Arsenal Premier League
Mar 16, 2025 Arsenal 1 - 0 Chelsea Premier League
Nov 10, 2024 Chelsea 1 - 1 Arsenal Premier League
Apr 23, 2024 Arsenal 5 - 0 Chelsea Premier League
Oct 21, 2023 Chelsea 2 - 2 Arsenal Premier League
May 02, 2023 Arsenal 3 - 1 Chelsea Premier League
Nov 06, 2022 Chelsea 0 - 1 Arsenal Premier League
Jul 24, 2022 Arsenal 4 - 0 Chelsea Friendlies Clu…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Chelsea to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 2-1 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Chelsea Power 42
Arsenal Power 48
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.