Copa del Rey · Jan 15, 2026 20:00

Burgos
PWR 37
0 - 2
FT

Valencia
PWR 29
55% H 23% D 22% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (15%) 0-0 (15%) 1-1 (13%) 0-1 (13%) 2-0 (8%) 2-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy42%
Full data available (Tier 1)Large gap = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 0)
Power & Form
Attack35
Defense70
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G1.0
Attack31
Defense52
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.6
Burgos Form WLDWW
STABLE
Valencia Form DLDWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.530%
BTTS38%
Under 2.570%
Burgos Goals
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
7%
4
2%
Valencia Goals
0
41%
1
37%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
Burgos
vs
0.89
Valencia
Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings50%
Market35%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#24
Burgos
-21
Gap
#3
Valencia
WR 50% 9 pts WR 63% 31 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Burgos6303699
Valencia161015282031
Burgos 14.0%
Jan 10 Burgos v Eibar 1-0
Jan 03 Burgos v Cordoba 2-0
Dec 21 Burgos v Zaragoza 1-1
Dec 18 Burgos v Getafe 3-1
Dec 14 Burgos v AlmerĂ­a 1-2
Dec 08 Burgos v Albacete 0-1
Dec 04 Burgos v Zaragoza 0-1
Nov 29 Burgos v AD Ceut… 1-0
Nov 23 Burgos v Racing … 0-2
Nov 16 Burgos v Mirandes 0-2
Valencia 8.0%
Jan 10 Valencia v Elche 1-1
Jan 03 Valencia v Celta d… 4-1
Dec 19 Valencia v Mallorca 1-1
Dec 16 Valencia v Sportin… 0-2
Dec 13 Valencia v Atlétic… 2-1
Dec 07 Valencia v Sevilla… 1-1
Dec 04 Valencia v Cartage… 1-2
Dec 01 Valencia v Rayo Va… 1-1
Nov 21 Valencia v Levante 1-0
Nov 09 Valencia v Real Be… 1-1
Key Factors
Burgos in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.