AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League Two Oct 14, 2023

Harrogate

Home
VS
14:00

Stockport

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Harrogate Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Stockport Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-2
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 77%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 31%
xG: 2.87 - 2.07
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.9 vs 2.1
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Harrogate Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
Stockport Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-2 (6%) 2-1 (6%) 3-2 (6%) 3-1 (6%) 1-2 (4%) 2-3 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Under 2.5 Goals 22%
Harrogate Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 10 Harrogate vs Accringto… 3-5
Sep 09 Harrogate vs Birmingham 1-0
Aug 19 Harrogate vs Accringto… 2-1
Aug 15 Harrogate vs Tranmere … 3-0
Apr 18 Harrogate vs Walsall 3-0
Mar 31 Harrogate vs Tranmere … 1-1
Mar 11 Harrogate vs Crawley T… 3-1
Mar 04 Harrogate vs Birmingham 0-0
Feb 25 Harrogate vs Swindon 3-0
Feb 18 Harrogate vs Crewe 2-2
Stockport Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 07 Stockport vs Doncaster 1-0
Sep 09 Stockport vs AFC Wimbl… 1-2
Aug 26 Stockport vs Mansfield… 3-2
Jul 22 Stockport vs Huddersfi… 0-4
Mar 18 Stockport vs Mansfield… 1-1
Mar 04 Stockport vs Doncaster 0-0
Feb 18 Stockport vs Stevenage 2-0
Feb 11 Stockport vs Harrogate 1-3
Jan 31 Stockport vs Crewe 1-1
Jan 28 Stockport vs AFC Wimbl… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Harrogate struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 11, 2023 Harrogate 1 - 3 Stockport League Two
Sep 17, 2022 Stockport 0 - 0 Harrogate League Two
Aug 09, 2022 Harrogate 0 - 1 Stockport League Cup
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Harrogate to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Harrogate Power 0
Stockport Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.