AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League Two Feb 03, 2024

Stockport

Home
VS
15:00

Harrogate

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Stockport Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Harrogate Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 79%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 37%
xG: 2.67 - 1.78
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.7 vs 1.8
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Stockport Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
19%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
15%
Harrogate Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (7%) 2-2 (7%) 3-1 (7%) 3-2 (6%) 1-1 (6%) 1-2 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 76%
Under 2.5 Goals 24%
Stockport Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 27 Stockport vs Doncaster 1-5
Jan 27 Stockport vs Doncaster 1-5
Jan 13 Stockport vs Walsall 3-1
Jan 01 Stockport vs Mansfield… 0-2
Jan 01 Stockport vs Mansfield… 0-2
Dec 29 Stockport vs Brentford 0-0
Dec 26 Stockport vs Barrow 2-2
Dec 22 Stockport vs Newport C… 2-1
Dec 16 Stockport vs Southampt… 8-0
Dec 09 Stockport vs Morecambe 1-1
Harrogate Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 30 Harrogate vs Southampt… 1-2
Jan 13 Harrogate vs Forest Gr… 0-2
Jan 06 Harrogate vs Doncaster 3-1
Jan 01 Harrogate vs Morecambe 2-2
Dec 29 Harrogate vs Tranmere … 0-2
Dec 29 Harrogate vs Tranmere … 0-2
Dec 26 Harrogate vs Accringto… 2-1
Dec 26 Harrogate vs Accringto… 2-1
Dec 23 Harrogate vs Grimsby 1-2
Dec 16 Harrogate vs Newport C… 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Stockport in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Harrogate in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 14, 2023 Harrogate 1 - 3 Stockport League Two
Feb 11, 2023 Harrogate 1 - 3 Stockport League Two
Sep 17, 2022 Stockport 0 - 0 Harrogate League Two
Aug 09, 2022 Harrogate 0 - 1 Stockport League Cup
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Stockport to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Stockport Power 0
Harrogate Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.