Sudani Premier League · Jan 19, 2026 13:30
Al Ahli Wad Medani
PWR 74
2 - 0
FT
Merreikh Kosti
PWR 28
66% H 21% D 14% A
Final Verdict
Al Ahli Wad Medani Win
Prediction
3-1
Score
84%
Confidence
ELITE
Stability ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (27%) 2-0 (21%) 0-0 (17%) 3-0 (11%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WON - Actual: 2-0
Stability Protocol
ELITE · 10 rules · 84%
DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk11%
Accuracy76%
GAP12_HWR65COMBINED_ELITEFORM_DOMINANTPOSITION_GAPHOME_WIN_RATEAWAY_WEAK_RATEPOINTS_GAPAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITIONFORM_MISMATCHCOMBINED_ELITE
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced threshold✓ Passed 75% Stability Protocol (10 rules, 84% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack57
Defense84
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G0.5
Attack22
Defense48
Goals/G0.6
Conc/G1.5
Al Ahli Wad Me… Form WWWLW
UP
Merreikh Kosti Form DLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.525%
BTTS14%
Under 2.575%
Al Ahli Wad… Goals
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4
5%
Merreikh Ko… Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55
Al Ahli Wad Me…
vs
0.20
Merreikh Kosti
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum85%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#5
Al Ahli Wad…
+20
Gap
#25
Merreikh Ko…
WR 82% 28 pts WR 13% 5 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Al Ahli Wad Med…1191118528
Merreikh Kosti81255125
Al Ahli Wad Me… 16.0%
Jan 15 Al Ahli… v Al Hila… 1-0
Jan 11 Al Ahli… v Umm Mug… 1-3
Jan 07 Al Ahli… v Al Ahli… 3-0
Sep 27 Al Ahli… v Étoile … 3-0
Sep 20 Al Ahli… v Étoile … 1-0
Sep 07 Al Ahli… v Al Hila… 1-1
Jul 16 Al Ahli… v Al Merr… 0-1
Jul 10 Al Ahli… v Al Hila… 0-0
Feb 02 Al Ahli… v Al Ahli… 1-0
Jan 16 Al Ahli… v Al Ahli… 2-0
Merreikh Kosti 3.3%
Jan 16 Merreik… v Al Ahli… 0-0
Jan 11 Merreik… v Al Hila… 0-2
Jan 08 Merreik… v Al Rabt… 1-0
Key Factors
Al Ahli Wad Medani in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.