Sudani Premier League · Jan 22, 2026 13:15
Al-Ahly Merowe
PWR 35
PWR 35
0 - 1
FT
Al Fallah
PWR 43
PWR 43
43% H
25% D
32% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (23%)
0-0 (19%)
2-0 (15%)
1-1 (10%)
0-1 (8%)
2-1 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk43%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar - high draw probabilityClose positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 4% = high draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: WR diff 4%, pos gap 2
Power & Form
Attack26
Defense62
Goals/G0.8
Conc/G1.1
Attack31
Defense76
Goals/G0.9
Conc/G0.7
Al-Ahly Merowe Form
DWLDL
STABLE
Al Fallah Form
DDWLD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.524%
BTTS25%
Under 2.576%
Al-Ahly Mer… Goals
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
Al Fallah Goals
0
66%
1
28%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Al-Ahly Merowevs
0.42
Al FallahDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum78%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#11
Al-Ahly Mer…+2
Gap#13
Al Fallah
WR 15% 19 pts
WR 19% 18 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Ahly Merowe | 20 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 22 | 19 |
| Al Fallah | 16 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 18 |
Al-Ahly Merowe
8.0%
| Jan 19 | Al-Ahly… v Al Saha… | 1-1 |
| Jan 15 | Al-Ahly… v Alamal … | 0-1 |
| Jan 11 | Al-Ahly… v Al-merr… | 1-2 |
| Jan 08 | Al-Ahly… v Al Hila… | 0-0 |
| Feb 06 | Al-Ahly… v Hay Al … | 1-0 |
| Jan 30 | Al-Ahly… v Kober | 1-0 |
| Jan 25 | Al-Ahly… v Umm Mug… | 1-1 |
| Apr 09 | Al-Ahly… v Al Fall… | 1-1 |
| Apr 06 | Al-Ahly… v Alamal … | 3-1 |
| Nov 28 | Al-Ahly… v Al Fall… | 4-0 |
Al Fallah
10.0%
| Jan 19 | Al Fall… v Al-merr… | 0-0 |
| Jan 16 | Al Fall… v Al Saha… | 0-0 |
| Jan 11 | Al Fall… v Al Hila… | 2-0 |
| Jan 07 | Al Fall… v Alamal … | 1-0 |
| Feb 14 | Al Fall… v Alamal … | 1-1 |
| Feb 11 | Al Fall… v Al Ahli… | 3-2 |
| Jan 20 | Al Fall… v Alamal … | 0-0 |
| Apr 09 | Al Fall… v Al-Ahly… | 1-1 |
| Mar 17 | Al Fall… v Alamal … | 0-0 |
| Nov 28 | Al Fall… v Al-Ahly… | 4-0 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Apr 09, 2023 | Al-Ahly Merowe | 1-1 | Al Fallah |
| Nov 28, 2022 | Al Fallah | 4-0 | Al-Ahly Merowe |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.