EFL Trophy · Jan 13, 2026 19:00

Bristol Rovers
PWR 27
3 - 4
FT

Plymouth
PWR 33
37% H 27% D 36% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Bristol Rovers to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-1 (22%) 0-2 (20%) 0-3 (12%) 0-0 (12%) 1-1 (6%) 1-2 (6%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-4
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 42%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy38%
HOME_FORM
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection AH_025
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack27
Defense51
Goals/G0.9
Conc/G1.6
Attack37
Defense57
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G1.4
Bristol Rovers Form WLLDL
STABLE
Plymouth Form WDDLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.535%
BTTS22%
Under 2.565%
Bristol Rov… Goals
0
74%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Plymouth Goals
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.30
Bristol Rovers
vs
1.85
Plymouth
Decision Breakdown
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player40%
Momentum35%
Standings82%
Market35%
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Bristol Rov…
+1
Gap
#2
Plymouth
WR 100% 8 pts WR 0% 6 pts
Bristol Rovers 6.0%
Jan 01 Bristol… v Shrewsb… 0-3
Dec 29 Bristol… v Barnet 0-2
Dec 26 Bristol… v Bromley 2-3
Dec 19 Bristol… v Crewe 1-1
Dec 13 Bristol… v Swindon… 0-3
Dec 09 Bristol… v Barnet 4-0
Dec 06 Bristol… v Port Va… 1-0
Dec 02 Bristol… v Cambrid… 2-2
Nov 29 Bristol… v Notts C… 0-1
Nov 22 Bristol… v Chelten… 1-0
Plymouth 12.0%
Jan 04 Plymouth v Burton … 3-0
Jan 01 Plymouth v Stevena… 1-1
Dec 29 Plymouth v Wycombe 1-1
Dec 26 Plymouth v Reading… 1-4
Dec 20 Plymouth v Doncast… 1-5
Dec 13 Plymouth v Rotherh… 1-0
Dec 09 Plymouth v Wycombe 0-1
Dec 06 Plymouth v Bradford 0-1
Dec 02 Plymouth v Leyton … 0-1
Nov 29 Plymouth v Northam… 0-3
Head-to-Head (9)
Nov 11, 2025 Bristol Rovers 1-0 Plymouth
Jul 30, 2024 Bristol Rovers 2-1 Plymouth
Apr 25, 2023 Plymouth 2-0 Bristol Rovers
Jan 10, 2023 Bristol Rovers 0-2 Plymouth
Oct 22, 2022 Bristol Rovers 2-2 Plymouth
Aug 30, 2022 Plymouth 1-1 Bristol Rovers
Jul 17, 2021 Bristol Rovers 1-1 Plymouth
Mar 20, 2021 Plymouth 2-0 Bristol Rovers
Dec 12, 2020 Bristol Rovers 3-0 Plymouth
Key Factors
Bristol Rovers struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.