AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
National League Feb 05, 2026

Sagaing United

Home
VS
09:30

Thitsar Arman

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Sagaing United Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Thitsar Arman Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 89%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 33%
xG: 3.44 - 1.79
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.4 vs 1.8 Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Sagaing United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
11%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
19%
Thitsar Arman Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (7%) 3-2 (6%) 2-1 (6%) 2-2 (5%) 3-0 (4%) 3-3 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 75%
Under 2.5 Goals 25%
Sagaing United Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 28 Sagaing U… vs Yarmanya … 2-4
Jan 23 Sagaing U… vs I.S.P.E 4-1
Jan 18 Sagaing U… vs Dagon Port 4-4
Jan 13 Sagaing U… vs Yadanarbon 2-1
Jan 06 Sagaing U… vs Yangon Un… 4-0
Dec 31 Sagaing U… vs Hantharwa… 2-2
Dec 25 Sagaing U… vs Dagon Port 5-2
Nov 22 Sagaing U… vs Shan Unit… 1-5
Nov 03 Sagaing U… vs Ayeyawady… 1-2
Oct 27 Sagaing U… vs Dagon 2-2
Thitsar Arman Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 30 Thitsar A… vs Yadanarbon 1-3
Jan 22 Thitsar A… vs Rakhine U… 0-0
Jan 17 Thitsar A… vs Shan Unit… 5-2
Jan 11 Thitsar A… vs Hantharwa… 1-2
Jan 06 Thitsar A… vs Ayeyawady… 0-0
Dec 30 Thitsar A… vs Dagon Port 3-3
Dec 24 Thitsar A… vs Shan Unit… 2-3
Nov 01 Thitsar A… vs Yarmanya … 1-1
Oct 25 Thitsar A… vs I.S.P.E 3-2
Oct 20 Thitsar A… vs Rakhine U… 0-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Sagaing United in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 29, 2025 Thitsar Arman 3 - 0 Sagaing United National League
Feb 28, 2025 Thitsar Arman 3 - 3 Sagaing United National League
Aug 19, 2024 Sagaing United 4 - 1 Thitsar Arman National League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Sagaing United to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Sagaing United Power 0
Thitsar Arman Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Sagaing United Position

+5

Position Gap

10

Thitsar Arman Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 10%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.