Primeira Liga · Feb 07, 2026 18:00

Estoril
PWR 35
2 - 2
FT

Tondela
PWR 35
61% H 22% D 17% A
Final Verdict
Estoril Win
Prediction
4-1
Score
75%
Confidence
ELITE
Stability ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (12%) 2-0 (9%) 3-1 (6%) 1-0 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 1-1 (2%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 2-2
Stability Protocol
ELITE · 6 rules · 75%
DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy76%
POSITION_GAPAWAY_WEAK_RATEPOINTS_GAPAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITIONHOME_SCORINGAWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskElite league - reduced threshold✓ Passed 75% Stability Protocol (6 rules, 75% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Estoril Form WWWLW
UP
Tondela Form DLLLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.561%
BTTS36%
Under 2.539%
Estoril Goals
0
2%
1
7%
2
15%
3
19%
4
20%
Tondela Goals
0
63%
1
29%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
4.02
Estoril
vs
0.46
Tondela
Decision Breakdown
S70+DR<22 (82.1%)M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%)M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%)M85+S60 (75.3%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings75%
Market50%
League Standings
#6
Estoril
+11
Gap
#17
Tondela
WR 46% 30 pts WR 18% 14 pts
Estoril 16.0%
Jan 31 Estoril v Santa C… 2-4
Jan 24 Estoril v Guimara… 4-2
Jan 19 Estoril v Estrela… 0-5
Jan 03 Estoril v Benfica 3-1
Dec 27 Estoril v Alverca 4-1
Dec 19 Estoril v SC Braga 1-0
Dec 14 Estoril v Famalic… 4-0
Dec 07 Estoril v Moreire… 3-3
Nov 30 Estoril v FC Porto 1-0
Nov 22 Estoril v Famalic… 1-2
Tondela 6.0%
Feb 01 Tondela v Benfica 0-0
Jan 25 Tondela v Famalic… 3-0
Jan 18 Tondela v SC Braga 0-1
Jan 11 Tondela v Moreire… 1-0
Jan 03 Tondela v Arouca 3-1
Dec 21 Tondela v Casa Pi… 1-2
Dec 15 Tondela v Nacional 3-1
Dec 07 Tondela v FC Porto 0-2
Nov 29 Tondela v GIL Vic… 0-1
Nov 23 Tondela v Caldas 0-0
Head-to-Head (5)
Aug 31, 2025 Tondela 2-2 Estoril
Nov 19, 2022 Tondela 0-0 Estoril
Feb 12, 2022 Estoril 1-0 Tondela
Dec 21, 2021 Tondela 3-1 Estoril
Sep 13, 2021 Tondela 1-2 Estoril
Key Factors
Estoril in strong form (4W in last 5)
Tondela struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.