Carioca - 1 · Feb 08, 2026 00:00

Portuguesa RJ
PWR 35
1 - 0
FT

Nova Iguaçu
PWR 35
43% H 25% D 32% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (45%) 0-1 (22%) 1-0 (14%) 1-1 (7%) 0-2 (5%) 2-0 (2%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 0.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Portuguesa RJ Form WLLLD
STABLE
Nova Iguaçu Form LDLDW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.55%
BTTS10%
Under 2.595%
Portuguesa … Goals
0
74%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Nova Iguaçu Goals
0
61%
1
30%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.30
Portuguesa RJ
vs
0.49
Nova Iguaçu
Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings46%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#6
Portuguesa …
-2
Gap
#4
Nova Iguaçu
WR 20% 5 pts WR 20% 6 pts
Portuguesa RJ 6.0%
Jan 26 Portugu… v Madurei… 0-2
Jan 22 Portugu… v Boavista 3-2
Jan 18 Portugu… v Maricá 0-1
Jan 15 Portugu… v Botafogo 0-2
Jan 11 Portugu… v Flamengo 1-1
Sep 06 Portugu… v Maringá 1-1
Sep 03 Portugu… v Maringá 0-2
Aug 30 Portugu… v Bangu 0-0
Aug 27 Portugu… v Bangu 0-0
Aug 13 Portugu… v EC Rese… 0-0
Nova Iguaçu 8.0%
Jan 30 Nova Ig… v Bangu 1-2
Jan 26 Nova Ig… v Volta R… 2-2
Jan 23 Nova Ig… v Flumine… 2-3
Jan 18 Nova Ig… v Vasco D… 0-0
Jan 15 Nova Ig… v Sampaio… 1-3
Mar 08 Nova Ig… v Madurei… 1-2
Mar 06 Nova Ig… v Vasco D… 0-3
Feb 16 Nova Ig… v Flumine… 2-0
Feb 09 Nova Ig… v Volta R… 0-0
Feb 02 Nova Ig… v Portugu… 0-1
Head-to-Head (4)
Feb 02, 2025 Portuguesa RJ 0-1 Nova Iguaçu
Feb 24, 2024 Portuguesa RJ 1-2 Nova Iguaçu
Feb 11, 2023 Nova Iguaçu 1-1 Portuguesa RJ
Mar 05, 2022 Nova Iguaçu 1-0 Portuguesa RJ
Key Factors
Portuguesa RJ struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.