AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Carioca - 1 Feb 08, 2026

Vasco DA Gama

Home
VS
21:00

Botafogo

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Vasco DA Gama Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Botafogo Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 87%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 36%
xG: 3.36 - 1.82
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.4 vs 1.8
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Vasco DA Gama Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
12%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Botafogo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
16%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (6%) 3-2 (6%) 2-1 (6%) 2-2 (5%) 3-3 (4%) 3-0 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 76%
Under 2.5 Goals 24%
Vasco DA Gama Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 02 Vasco DA … vs Madureira… 0-0
Jan 29 Vasco DA … vs Mirassol 2-1
Jan 25 Vasco DA … vs Boavista 0-3
Jan 22 Vasco DA … vs Flamengo 1-0
Jan 18 Vasco DA … vs Nova Igua… 0-0
Jan 16 Vasco DA … vs Maringá 4-2
Dec 18 Vasco DA … vs Corinthia… 0-0
Dec 14 Vasco DA … vs Fluminense 1-0
Dec 11 Vasco DA … vs Fluminense 2-1
Dec 02 Vasco DA … vs Mirassol 0-2
Botafogo Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 05 Botafogo vs Gremio 5-3
Feb 01 Botafogo vs Fluminense 0-1
Jan 30 Botafogo vs Cruzeiro 4-0
Jan 25 Botafogo vs Bangu 2-0
Jan 21 Botafogo vs Volta Red… 1-0
Jan 18 Botafogo vs Sampaio C… 2-1
Jan 15 Botafogo vs Portugues… 0-2
Jan 04 Botafogo vs Santa Cru… 3-1
Dec 04 Botafogo vs Cruzeiro 2-2
Nov 30 Botafogo vs Corinthia… 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Botafogo in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 05, 2025 Botafogo 3 - 0 Vasco DA Gama Serie A
Sep 12, 2025 Botafogo 1 - 1 Vasco DA Gama Copa do Brasil
Aug 28, 2025 Vasco DA Gama 1 - 1 Botafogo Copa do Brasil
Jul 12, 2025 Vasco DA Gama 0 - 2 Botafogo Serie A
Feb 23, 2025 Vasco DA Gama 1 - 0 Botafogo Carioca - 1
Nov 06, 2024 Botafogo 3 - 0 Vasco DA Gama Serie A
Jun 29, 2024 Vasco DA Gama 1 - 1 Botafogo Serie A
Feb 18, 2024 Botafogo 2 - 4 Vasco DA Gama Carioca - 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Vasco DA Gama Power 0
Botafogo Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Vasco DA Gama Position

-3

Position Gap

1

Botafogo Position
Home Win Rate: 40%
Away Win Rate: 60%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.