AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Pro League Apr 04, 2025

Al-Ahli Saudi

Home
VS
18:00

Al-Nassr

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Al-Ahli Saudi Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Al-Nassr Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 83%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 35%
xG: 2.90 - 1.68
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.9 vs 1.7
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Al-Ahli Saudi Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
Al-Nassr Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (7%) 3-1 (7%) 2-2 (6%) 3-2 (6%) 1-1 (5%) 2-0 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 75%
Under 2.5 Goals 25%
Al-Ahli Saudi Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 15 Al-Ahli S… vs Al Akhdoud 2-1
Mar 15 Al-Ahli S… vs Al Taawou… 0-2
Mar 07 Al-Ahli S… vs Al Khalee… 2-2
Mar 07 Al-Ahli S… vs Al-Fateh … 0-2
Feb 28 Al-Ahli S… vs Al-Ahli S… 2-3
Feb 25 Al-Ahli S… vs Al Akhdoud 5-1
Feb 25 Al-Ahli S… vs Al-Qadisi… 4-1
Feb 21 Al-Ahli S… vs Damac 0-2
Feb 14 Al-Ahli S… vs Al Riyadh 1-1
Feb 13 Al-Ahli S… vs Al-Nassr 2-3
Al-Nassr Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 14 Al-Nassr vs Al Kholood 3-1
Mar 07 Al-Nassr vs Al Shabab 2-2
Feb 21 Al-Nassr vs Al-Ettifaq 2-3
Feb 13 Al-Nassr vs Al-Ahli S… 2-3
Jan 17 Al-Nassr vs Al Taawou… 1-1
Jan 09 Al-Nassr vs Al Akhdoud 3-1
Dec 06 Al-Nassr vs Al-Ittiha… 2-1
Nov 29 Al-Nassr vs Damac 2-0
Nov 22 Al-Nassr vs Al-Qadisi… 1-2
Nov 08 Al-Nassr vs Al Riyadh 0-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 13, 2025 Al-Ahli Saudi 2 - 3 Al-Nassr Pro League
Nov 01, 2024 Al-Nassr 1 - 1 Al-Ahli Saudi Pro League
Sep 13, 2024 Al-Nassr 1 - 1 Al-Ahli Saudi Pro League
Aug 17, 2024 Al-Nassr 1 - 4 Al-Ahli Saudi Super Cup
May 31, 2024 Al-Ahli Saudi 1 - 1 Al-Nassr King's Cup
May 17, 2024 Al-Nassr 1 - 1 Al-Ahli Saudi Pro League
Apr 08, 2024 Al-Ahli Saudi 2 - 1 Al-Nassr Super Cup
Mar 15, 2024 Al-Ahli Saudi 0 - 1 Al-Nassr Pro League
Feb 08, 2024 Al-Ahli Saudi 2 - 0 Al-Nassr Friendlies Clu…
Dec 01, 2023 Al-Ahli Saudi 3 - 0 Al-Nassr Pro League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Al-Ahli Saudi to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Al-Ahli Saudi Power 0
Al-Nassr Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Al-Ahli Saudi Position

-1

Position Gap

2

Al-Nassr Position
Home Win Rate: 70%
Away Win Rate: 70%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.