AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Challenge Cup Feb 27, 2025

Zebbug Rangers

Home
VS
19:30

Santa Lucía

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Zebbug Rangers Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Santa Lucía Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-2
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 81%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 30%
xG: 3.15 - 2.11
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.1 vs 2.1
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Zebbug Rangers Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
14%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Santa Lucía Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
12%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-2 (6%) 2-2 (6%) 3-1 (6%) 2-1 (5%) 3-3 (4%) 2-3 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Under 2.5 Goals 22%
Zebbug Rangers Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 25 Zebbug Ra… vs Marsa 4-1
Jan 19 Zebbug Ra… vs Marsa 4-2
Nov 02 Zebbug Ra… vs Santa Luc… 1-2
Oct 26 Zebbug Ra… vs Zurrieq 1-0
Jan 27 Zebbug Ra… vs Melita 2-1
Nov 25 Zebbug Ra… vs Marsa 2-0
Sep 16 Zebbug Ra… vs Zurrieq 0-5
Jan 20 Zebbug Ra… vs Santa Luc… 2-1
Dec 16 Zebbug Ra… vs Balzan FC 2-3
Sep 03 Zebbug Ra… vs Santa Luc… 2-0
Santa Lucía Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 15 Santa Luc… vs Zurrieq 3-6
Jan 04 Santa Luc… vs Zurrieq 2-0
Nov 02 Santa Luc… vs Zebbug Ra… 1-2
Sep 21 Santa Luc… vs Swieqi Un… 3-2
Sep 15 Santa Luc… vs Marsa 0-5
Feb 10 Santa Luc… vs Balzan FC 0-1
Jan 11 Santa Luc… vs Marsa 2-0
Sep 26 Santa Luc… vs Balzan FC 0-1
Jan 20 Santa Luc… vs Zebbug Ra… 2-1
Jan 07 Santa Luc… vs Balzan FC 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Zebbug Rangers struggling (4L in last 5) Home
  • Santa Lucía struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 02, 2024 Zebbug Rangers 1 - 2 Santa Lucía Challenge Leag…
Jan 20, 2023 Santa Lucía 2 - 1 Zebbug Rangers Premier League
Sep 03, 2022 Zebbug Rangers 2 - 0 Santa Lucía Premier League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Zebbug Rangers to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Zebbug Rangers Power 0
Santa Lucía Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.