AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Sergipano Feb 01, 2025

Dorense

Home
VS
18:30

Sergipe

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Dorense Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Sergipe Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 43%
Standings 38%
Market 50%
Combined: 36% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.30 - 0.83
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Dorense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
74%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Sergipe Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
44%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (32%) 0-1 (27%) 0-2 (11%) 1-0 (10%) 1-1 (8%) 1-2 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 15%
Over 2.5 Goals 11%
Under 2.5 Goals 89%
Dorense Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 26 Dorense vs Lagarto 1-1
Jan 14 Dorense vs América M… 1-0
Jan 11 Dorense vs Falcon 0-2
Mar 30 Dorense vs AO Itabai… 2-0
Mar 16 Dorense vs AO Itabai… 1-1
Mar 13 Dorense vs AO Itabai… 0-0
Feb 17 Dorense vs Sergipe 1-0
Feb 03 Dorense vs Lagarto 3-1
Jan 27 Dorense vs América M… 0-2
Jan 13 Dorense vs Falcon 2-3
Sergipe Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 25 Sergipe vs Falcon 0-1
Apr 13 Sergipe vs Confiança 0-0
Apr 10 Sergipe vs Confiança 1-1
Feb 24 Sergipe vs Falcon 0-1
Feb 17 Sergipe vs Dorense 1-0
Feb 04 Sergipe vs Confiança 2-1
Jan 28 Sergipe vs AO Itabai… 0-2
Jan 21 Sergipe vs América M… 1-1
Apr 08 Sergipe vs AO Itabai… 2-1
Apr 02 Sergipe vs AO Itabai… 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Dorense struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 17, 2024 Sergipe 1 - 0 Dorense Sergipano
Jan 14, 2023 Sergipe 1 - 0 Dorense Sergipano
Apr 18, 2021 Sergipe 1 - 1 Dorense Sergipano
Mar 06, 2021 Dorense 0 - 3 Sergipe Sergipano
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Dorense Power 0
Sergipe Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Dorense Position

-6

Position Gap

1

Sergipe Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 75%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.