AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Pernambucano - 1 Feb 16, 2025

Retrô FC Brasil

Home
VS
21:00

Decisão

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Retrô FC Brasil Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Decisão Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 85%
Standings 53%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 46%
xG: 1.72 - 0.33
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.7 vs 0.3
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Retrô FC Brasil Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
18%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
7%
Decisão Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
72%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (22%) 2-0 (19%) 0-0 (13%) 3-0 (11%) 1-1 (7%) 2-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 23%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Under 2.5 Goals 67%
Retrô FC Brasil Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 02 Retrô FC … vs Nautico R… 1-0
Jan 28 Retrô FC … vs Santa Cru… 1-0
Jan 25 Retrô FC … vs Jaguaré 1-1
Jan 18 Retrô FC … vs Sport Rec… 1-1
Jan 12 Retrô FC … vs Maguary PE 1-3
Mar 17 Retrô FC … vs Nautico R… 1-0
Mar 10 Retrô FC … vs Nautico R… 1-0
Feb 18 Retrô FC … vs Nautico R… 1-0
Feb 15 Retrô FC … vs Santa Cru… 0-0
Feb 08 Retrô FC … vs Maguary PE 0-0
Decisão Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 02 Decisão vs Maguary PE 5-0
Jan 22 Decisão vs Jaguaré 2-1
Jan 14 Decisão vs Sport Rec… 1-1
Jan 11 Decisão vs Santa Cru… 1-1
Sep 21 Decisão vs Jaguaré 0-1
Aug 24 Decisão vs Acadêmica… 5-2
Jul 14 Decisão vs Jaguaré 2-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Retrô FC Brasil to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Retrô FC Brasil Power 0
Decisão Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Retrô FC Brasil Position

+2

Position Gap

5

Decisão Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.