AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Campionato Mar 05, 2022

San Giovanni

Home
VS
14:00

Tre Penne

Away
AI Predictions 39.6% Confidence
San Giovanni Win
33.0%
Draw
27.4%
Tre Penne Win
39.6%
Away Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 88%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 47%
xG: 2.82 - 1.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.8 vs 1.2
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
San Giovanni Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
17%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
Tre Penne Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
30%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (9%) 3-1 (8%) 2-0 (7%) 3-0 (7%) 1-1 (6%) 2-2 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Under 2.5 Goals 30%
San Giovanni Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 06 San Giova… vs Libertas 0-1
Dec 04 San Giova… vs La Fiorit… 1-1
Nov 20 San Giova… vs Tre Penne 3-3
Oct 16 San Giova… vs Libertas 2-0
Sep 19 San Giova… vs Juvenes /… 4-0
Apr 13 San Giova… vs Libertas 0-0
Apr 07 San Giova… vs Tre Penne 4-2
Mar 20 San Giova… vs La Fiorit… 2-1
Mar 06 San Giova… vs Juvenes /… 2-1
Tre Penne Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 23 Tre Penne vs Faetano 0-0
Feb 05 Tre Penne vs Cailungo 1-2
Jan 30 Tre Penne vs Murata 1-1
Dec 12 Tre Penne vs Fiorentino 2-5
Nov 27 Tre Penne vs Folgore 2-4
Nov 20 Tre Penne vs San Giova… 3-3
Oct 17 Tre Penne vs Cailungo 2-1
Oct 02 Tre Penne vs Murata 3-0
Sep 19 Tre Penne vs Virtus 2-0
Apr 07 Tre Penne vs San Giova… 4-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Tre Penne in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 20, 2021 Tre Penne 3 - 3 San Giovanni Campionato
Apr 07, 2021 San Giovanni 4 - 2 Tre Penne Campionato
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
San Giovanni Power 0
Tre Penne Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

13

San Giovanni Position

-11

Position Gap

2

Tre Penne Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 56%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.