AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Campionato Dec 04, 2022

Tre Penne

Home
VS
14:00

San Giovanni

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Tre Penne Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
San Giovanni Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 87%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.42 - 0.46
Key Insights
Position gap: 11 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Tre Penne Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
66%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
San Giovanni Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
63%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (41%) 0-1 (19%) 1-0 (17%) 1-1 (8%) 0-2 (4%) 2-0 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 13%
Over 2.5 Goals 6%
Under 2.5 Goals 94%
Tre Penne Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 25 Tre Penne vs Libertas 0-1
Nov 12 Tre Penne vs Fiorentino 1-1
Nov 05 Tre Penne vs Virtus 0-0
Oct 22 Tre Penne vs La Fiorit… 0-1
Oct 19 Tre Penne vs Pennarossa 1-4
Oct 08 Tre Penne vs Murata 1-4
Oct 05 Tre Penne vs Pennarossa 0-0
Sep 10 Tre Penne vs Cailungo 0-2
May 26 Tre Penne vs La Fiorit… 2-0
Apr 13 Tre Penne vs Faetano 0-0
San Giovanni Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 12 San Giova… vs Juvenes /… 1-2
Oct 14 San Giova… vs Fiorentino 4-3
Apr 20 San Giova… vs Domagnano 0-4
Apr 14 San Giova… vs Fiorentino 0-3
Apr 03 San Giova… vs Juvenes /… 4-1
Mar 16 San Giova… vs Domagnano 0-0
Mar 12 San Giova… vs La Fiorit… 0-3
Mar 05 San Giova… vs Tre Penne 1-2
Feb 06 San Giova… vs Libertas 0-1
Dec 04 San Giova… vs La Fiorit… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Tre Penne in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • San Giovanni in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 05, 2022 San Giovanni 1 - 2 Tre Penne Campionato
Nov 20, 2021 Tre Penne 3 - 3 San Giovanni Campionato
Apr 07, 2021 San Giovanni 4 - 2 Tre Penne Campionato
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Tre Penne to win (64% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 64% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Tre Penne Power 0
San Giovanni Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Tre Penne Position

+11

Position Gap

13

San Giovanni Position
Home Win Rate: 78%
Away Win Rate: 18%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.