AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Campionato Mar 29, 2025

Tre Penne

Home
VS
14:00

San Giovanni

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Tre Penne Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
San Giovanni Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 93%
Standings 85%
Market 50%
Combined: 57% Draw Risk: 32%
xG: 3.42 - 1.43
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.4 vs 1.4 Position gap: 10 places
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Tre Penne Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
11%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
19%
San Giovanni Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
24%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
4%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (7%) 2-1 (7%) 3-2 (5%) 3-0 (5%) 2-2 (5%) 2-0 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
Under 2.5 Goals 27%
Tre Penne Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 16 Tre Penne vs Folgore 1-1
Mar 01 Tre Penne vs Fiorentino 0-0
Feb 16 Tre Penne vs Libertas 0-2
Feb 08 Tre Penne vs Cailungo 2-1
Jan 22 Tre Penne vs Faetano 5-0
Jan 19 Tre Penne vs La Fiorit… 2-0
Jan 11 Tre Penne vs Juvenes /… 1-2
Dec 21 Tre Penne vs San Marin… 3-2
Dec 15 Tre Penne vs Murata 2-4
Dec 11 Tre Penne vs Folgore 3-2
San Giovanni Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 09 San Giova… vs La Fiorit… 2-1
Feb 15 San Giova… vs San Marin… 1-1
Feb 09 San Giova… vs Juvenes /… 2-3
Jan 21 San Giova… vs Fiorentino 0-2
Jan 12 San Giova… vs Tre Fiori 0-2
Dec 22 San Giova… vs Domagnano 1-1
Dec 15 San Giova… vs Libertas 2-1
Dec 11 San Giova… vs Tre Fiori 2-2
Dec 07 San Giova… vs Murata 1-1
Nov 30 San Giova… vs Tre Penne 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Tre Penne in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 30, 2024 San Giovanni 1 - 1 Tre Penne Campionato
Feb 10, 2024 San Giovanni 1 - 3 Tre Penne Campionato
Oct 07, 2023 Tre Penne 5 - 0 San Giovanni Campionato
Apr 01, 2023 San Giovanni 2 - 3 Tre Penne Campionato
Dec 04, 2022 Tre Penne 3 - 1 San Giovanni Campionato
Mar 05, 2022 San Giovanni 1 - 2 Tre Penne Campionato
Nov 20, 2021 Tre Penne 3 - 3 San Giovanni Campionato
Apr 07, 2021 San Giovanni 4 - 2 Tre Penne Campionato
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Tre Penne to win (64% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 64% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Tre Penne Power 0
San Giovanni Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Tre Penne Position

+10

Position Gap

13

San Giovanni Position
Home Win Rate: 78%
Away Win Rate: 18%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.