AI Match Insights

SĂĽper Lig Dec 24, 2023

Fenerbahce

Home
VS
16:00

Galatasaray

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Fenerbahce Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Galatasaray Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 45%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 38% Draw Risk: 34%
xG: 0.79 - 1.22
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Fenerbahce Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
45%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Galatasaray Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
30%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (16%) 0-0 (13%) 1-1 (13%) 1-0 (11%) 0-2 (10%) 1-2 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Under 2.5 Goals 68%
Fenerbahce Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 20 Fenerbahce vs Kocaelisp… 3-4
Dec 09 Fenerbahce vs Besiktas 1-3
Sep 28 Fenerbahce vs İstanbul … 4-0
Sep 24 Fenerbahce vs Antalyasp… 0-1
Aug 21 Fenerbahce vs Samsunspor 0-2
Jun 11 Fenerbahce vs İstanbul … 2-0
Jun 04 Fenerbahce vs Galatasar… 3-0
Apr 19 Fenerbahce vs İstanbul … 1-2
Apr 02 Fenerbahce vs Besiktas 2-4
Mar 19 Fenerbahce vs Antalyasp… 1-3
Galatasaray Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 20 Galatasar… vs Fatih Kar… 1-0
Dec 12 Galatasar… vs FC Copenh… 1-0
Nov 03 Galatasar… vs Kasımpaşa 2-1
Oct 07 Galatasar… vs Antalyasp… 0-2
Sep 26 Galatasar… vs İstanbuls… 0-1
Sep 23 Galatasar… vs İstanbul … 1-2
Sep 16 Galatasar… vs Samsunspor 4-2
Sep 02 Galatasar… vs Gazişehir… 0-3
Aug 12 Galatasar… vs Kocaelisp… 0-0
Jun 04 Galatasar… vs Fenerbahce 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Fenerbahce in strong form (5W in last 5) Home
  • Galatasaray in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jun 04, 2023 Galatasaray 3 - 0 Fenerbahce SĂĽper Lig
Jan 08, 2023 Fenerbahce 0 - 3 Galatasaray SĂĽper Lig
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Fenerbahce to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Fenerbahce Power 0
Galatasaray Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Fenerbahce Position

-1

Position Gap

1

Galatasaray Position

Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 78%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.