Primeira Liga · Jan 06, 2024 20:30

SC Braga
PWR 35

Guimaraes
PWR 35

SC Braga
PWR 35
1 - 1
FT

Guimaraes
PWR 35
31% H
28% D
41% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: SC Braga to win (63% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
63%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (20%)
0-0 (15%)
2-0 (13%)
1-1 (11%)
0-1 (9%)
2-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 42%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk17%
Accuracy38%
HOME_FORM
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk
AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Strong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
SC Braga Form
WWLLL
STABLE
Guimaraes Form
WWDWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.529%
BTTS32%
Under 2.571%
SC Braga Goals
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
Guimaraes Goals
0
57%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
SC Bragavs
0.57
GuimaraesDecision Breakdown
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum71%
Standings70%
Market50%
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#4
SC Braga+5
Gap#9
Guimaraes
WR 60% 39 pts
WR 30% 28 pts
SC Braga
8.0%
| Dec 30 | SC Braga v Casa Pi… | 1-3 |
| Dec 22 | SC Braga v Nacional | 1-3 |
| Dec 17 | SC Braga v Benfica | 0-1 |
| Dec 17 | SC Braga v Benfica | 0-1 |
| Dec 12 | SC Braga v Napoli | 2-0 |
| Dec 08 | SC Braga v Vizela | 1-3 |
| Dec 03 | SC Braga v Estoril | 3-1 |
| Dec 03 | SC Braga v Estoril | 3-1 |
| Nov 29 | SC Braga v Union B… | 1-1 |
| Nov 25 | SC Braga v Portimo… | 1-4 |
Guimaraes
18.0%
| Dec 23 | Guimara… v Rio Ave… | 1-0 |
| Dec 23 | Guimara… v Rio Ave… | 1-0 |
| Dec 16 | Guimara… v Boavista | 1-1 |
| Dec 09 | Guimara… v Sportin… | 3-2 |
| Dec 09 | Guimara… v Sp Lisb… | 3-2 |
| Dec 02 | Guimara… v Farense | 1-2 |
| Nov 25 | Guimara… v Länk FC… | 4-1 |
| Nov 11 | Guimara… v FC Porto | 1-2 |
| Nov 05 | Guimara… v Moreire… | 1-0 |
| Oct 01 | Guimara… v Estoril | 3-2 |
Head-to-Head (7)
| Feb 27, 2023 | Guimaraes | 2-1 | SC Braga |
| Jan 30, 2023 | SC Braga | 3-0 | Guimaraes |
| Jan 11, 2023 | SC Braga | 3-2 | Guimaraes |
| Oct 08, 2022 | Guimaraes | 2-2 | SC Braga |
| Sep 03, 2022 | SC Braga | 1-0 | Guimaraes |
| Jan 09, 2022 | Guimaraes | 2-0 | SC Braga |
| Aug 27, 2021 | SC Braga | 1-1 | Guimaraes |
Key Factors
Guimaraes in strong form (4W in last 5)
SC Braga struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.