Primeira Liga · Jan 06, 2024 20:30

SC Braga
PWR 35
1 - 1
FT

Guimaraes
PWR 35
31% H 28% D 41% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: SC Braga to win (63% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
63%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (20%) 0-0 (15%) 2-0 (13%) 1-1 (11%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 42%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk17%
Accuracy38%
HOME_FORM
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Strong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
SC Braga Form WWLLL
STABLE
Guimaraes Form WWDWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.529%
BTTS32%
Under 2.571%
SC Braga Goals
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
Guimaraes Goals
0
57%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
SC Braga
vs
0.57
Guimaraes
Decision Breakdown
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum71%
Standings70%
Market50%
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#4
SC Braga
+5
Gap
#9
Guimaraes
WR 60% 39 pts WR 30% 28 pts
SC Braga 8.0%
Dec 30 SC Braga v Casa Pi… 1-3
Dec 22 SC Braga v Nacional 1-3
Dec 17 SC Braga v Benfica 0-1
Dec 17 SC Braga v Benfica 0-1
Dec 12 SC Braga v Napoli 2-0
Dec 08 SC Braga v Vizela 1-3
Dec 03 SC Braga v Estoril 3-1
Dec 03 SC Braga v Estoril 3-1
Nov 29 SC Braga v Union B… 1-1
Nov 25 SC Braga v Portimo… 1-4
Guimaraes 18.0%
Dec 23 Guimara… v Rio Ave… 1-0
Dec 23 Guimara… v Rio Ave… 1-0
Dec 16 Guimara… v Boavista 1-1
Dec 09 Guimara… v Sportin… 3-2
Dec 09 Guimara… v Sp Lisb… 3-2
Dec 02 Guimara… v Farense 1-2
Nov 25 Guimara… v Länk FC… 4-1
Nov 11 Guimara… v FC Porto 1-2
Nov 05 Guimara… v Moreire… 1-0
Oct 01 Guimara… v Estoril 3-2
Head-to-Head (7)
Feb 27, 2023 Guimaraes 2-1 SC Braga
Jan 30, 2023 SC Braga 3-0 Guimaraes
Jan 11, 2023 SC Braga 3-2 Guimaraes
Oct 08, 2022 Guimaraes 2-2 SC Braga
Sep 03, 2022 SC Braga 1-0 Guimaraes
Jan 09, 2022 Guimaraes 2-0 SC Braga
Aug 27, 2021 SC Braga 1-1 Guimaraes
Key Factors
Guimaraes in strong form (4W in last 5)
SC Braga struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.