AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primeira Liga Feb 16, 2025

Guimaraes

Home
VS
20:30

SC Braga

Away
AI Predictions 42.8% Confidence
Guimaraes Win
29.0%
Draw
28.2%
SC Braga Win
42.8%
Away Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 85%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 40%
xG: 2.96 - 1.56
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.0 vs 1.6
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Guimaraes Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
15%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
SC Braga Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
21%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (7%) 3-1 (7%) 2-2 (6%) 3-2 (6%) 1-1 (5%) 2-0 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 74%
Under 2.5 Goals 26%
Guimaraes Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 08 Guimaraes vs Famalicao 0-0
Feb 01 Guimaraes vs AVS 2-0
Jan 26 Guimaraes vs Estoril 1-0
Jan 18 Guimaraes vs Arouca 2-2
Jan 12 Guimaraes vs O Elvas 2-1
Jan 03 Guimaraes vs Sporting … 4-4
Jan 03 Guimaraes vs Sp Lisbon 4-4
Dec 29 Guimaraes vs Farense 2-2
Dec 23 Guimaraes vs Nacional 2-2
Dec 23 Guimaraes vs Nacional 2-2
SC Braga Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 09 SC Braga vs GIL Vicen… 2-0
Feb 03 SC Braga vs Moreirense 1-2
Jan 26 SC Braga vs Sanjoanen… 2-2
Jan 26 SC Braga vs Boavista 3-0
Jan 19 SC Braga vs Estrela d… 0-1
Jan 15 SC Braga vs Lusitano … 2-1
Jan 12 SC Braga vs Amarante 1-1
Jan 08 SC Braga vs Benfica 3-0
Jan 05 SC Braga vs Fafe 1-0
Jan 04 SC Braga vs Benfica 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • SC Braga in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 31, 2024 SC Braga 2 - 1 Guimaraes Taça da Liga
Sep 15, 2024 SC Braga 0 - 2 Guimaraes Primeira Liga
Sep 15, 2024 SC Braga 0 - 2 Guimaraes Pro League
May 11, 2024 Guimaraes 2 - 3 SC Braga Pro League
May 11, 2024 Guimaraes 2 - 3 SC Braga Primeira Liga
Jan 06, 2024 SC Braga 1 - 1 Guimaraes Pro League
Jan 06, 2024 SC Braga 1 - 1 Guimaraes Primeira Liga
Feb 27, 2023 Guimaraes 2 - 1 SC Braga Primeira Liga
Jan 30, 2023 SC Braga 3 - 0 Guimaraes Liga 3
Jan 11, 2023 SC Braga 3 - 2 Guimaraes Taça de Portug…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Guimaraes Power 0
SC Braga Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Guimaraes Position

-5

Position Gap

4

SC Braga Position
Home Win Rate: 46%
Away Win Rate: 46%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.