AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Paulista - A3 Apr 09, 2025

Sertãozinho

Home
VS
22:00

Monte Azul

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Sertãozinho Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Monte Azul Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 72%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.99 - 0.21
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.0 vs 0.2
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Sertãozinho Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
37%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
2%
Monte Azul Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
81%
1 goals:
17%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (30%) 1-0 (30%) 2-0 (15%) 0-1 (6%) 1-1 (6%) 3-0 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 12%
Over 2.5 Goals 12%
Under 2.5 Goals 88%
Sertãozinho Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 04 Sertãozin… vs Marília 1-0
Mar 29 Sertãozin… vs Marcílio … 2-0
Mar 26 Sertãozin… vs Catanduva 0-0
Mar 21 Sertãozin… vs Catanduva 0-2
Mar 15 Sertãozin… vs Bandeiran… 1-1
Mar 08 Sertãozin… vs Rio Preto 1-1
Feb 26 Sertãozin… vs São Berna… 0-0
Feb 07 Sertãozin… vs Grêmio Pr… 2-0
Jan 31 Sertãozin… vs Votuporan… 3-0
Mar 08 Sertãozin… vs Votuporan… 0-1
Monte Azul Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 15 Monte Azul vs EC Lemense 4-2
Mar 09 Monte Azul vs XV de Jau 2-2
Oct 12 Monte Azul vs Votuporan… 1-0
Oct 05 Monte Azul vs Votuporan… 1-0
Mar 10 Monte Azul vs XV de Pir… 4-2
Feb 21 Monte Azul vs Fluminense 1-1
Feb 10 Monte Azul vs São José … 0-2
Mar 05 Monte Azul vs Fluminense 1-0
Feb 25 Monte Azul vs XV de Pir… 1-0
Feb 09 Monte Azul vs XV de Pir… 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Monte Azul in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Sertãozinho to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Sertãozinho Power 0
Monte Azul Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.