AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Matogrossense Mar 29, 2025

Cuiabá

Home
VS
19:30

Primavera SP

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Cuiabá Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
Primavera SP Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 22%
xG: 3.13 - 0.61
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.1 vs 0.6
Score Prediction Analysis
Cuiabá Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
14%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Primavera SP Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
54%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (12%) 2-0 (12%) 1-0 (7%) 3-1 (7%) 2-1 (7%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
Cuiabá Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 22 Cuiabá vs Primavera… 1-2
Mar 15 Cuiabá vs CEOV Oper… 2-0
Mar 08 Cuiabá vs CEOV Oper… 0-1
Feb 22 Cuiabá vs Sport Sin… 5-0
Feb 15 Cuiabá vs União Ron… 2-2
Feb 08 Cuiabá vs Nova Mutu… 5-0
Jan 29 Cuiabá vs Rioverden… 3-1
Jan 26 Cuiabá vs Primavera… 1-1
Jan 18 Cuiabá vs Mixto 1-1
Dec 08 Cuiabá vs Vasco DA … 1-2
Primavera SP Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 22 Primavera… vs Cuiabá 1-2
Mar 15 Primavera… vs Mixto 2-2
Mar 10 Primavera… vs Mixto 1-1
Mar 08 Primavera… vs Juventude 0-0
Mar 05 Primavera… vs Nova Mutu… 5-1
Mar 01 Primavera… vs Nova Mutu… 1-0
Feb 22 Primavera… vs Mixto 0-1
Feb 22 Primavera… vs Capivaria… 1-0
Feb 15 Primavera… vs Nova Mutu… 1-4
Feb 02 Primavera… vs Sport Sin… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Cuiabá in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 22, 2025 Primavera SP 1 - 2 Cuiabá Matogrossense
Jan 26, 2025 Primavera SP 1 - 1 Cuiabá Matogrossense
Jan 20, 2024 Cuiabá 1 - 1 Primavera SP Matogrossense
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Cuiabá to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 94
Cuiabá Power 0
Primavera SP Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.