Copa Verde · Feb 04, 2025 22:30
Vila Nova
PWR 49
Vila Nova
PWR 49
1 - 1
FT
Rioverdense
PWR 35
PWR 35
57% H
23% D
20% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Vila Nova to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (9%)
3-1 (8%)
2-0 (7%)
2-1 (6%)
1-0 (4%)
1-1 (3%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 70%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy42%
HOME_TOP_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Weak home team = higher draw riskHigh draw risk (32.0%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack35
Defense77
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G0.7
Attack35
Defense65
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.0
Vila Nova Form
WWDWL
STABLE
Rioverdense Form
LLDWL
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.566%
BTTS56%
Under 2.534%
Vila Nova Goals
0
2%
1
9%
2
17%
3
21%
4
19%
Rioverdense Goals
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.73
Vila Novavs
0.85
RioverdenseDecision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Vila Nova+7
Gap#8
Rioverdense
WR 33% 5 pts
WR 0% 1 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vila Nova | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Rioverdense | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Vila Nova
14.0%
| Feb 02 | Vila No… v Goiás | 1-0 |
| Jan 26 | Vila No… v Athleti… | 1-3 |
| Jan 19 | Vila No… v Anápolis | 0-0 |
| Jan 15 | Vila No… v Apareci… | 1-0 |
| Nov 24 | Vila No… v Paysand… | 2-1 |
| Nov 17 | Vila No… v Ituano | 3-4 |
| Nov 11 | Vila No… v Ponte P… | 2-1 |
| Nov 02 | Vila No… v Santos | 3-0 |
| Oct 13 | Vila No… v Goiás | 0-1 |
| Sep 04 | Vila No… v CRB | 1-0 |
Rioverdense
6.0%
| Feb 01 | Rioverd… v Mixto | 4-1 |
| Jan 29 | Rioverd… v Cuiabá | 3-1 |
| Jan 18 | Rioverd… v Nova Mu… | 1-1 |
| Jan 15 | Rioverd… v Sport S… | 1-2 |
| Sep 21 | Rioverd… v Itumbia… | 1-0 |
| Sep 14 | Rioverd… v Apareci… | 1-2 |
| Aug 24 | Rioverd… v Apareci… | 1-1 |
| Aug 17 | Rioverd… v Itumbia… | 0-0 |
| Mar 24 | Rioverd… v Cuiabá | 4-3 |
| Mar 17 | Rioverd… v Cuiabá | 0-1 |
Key Factors
Vila Nova in strong form (3W in last 5)
Rioverdense struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.