AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga de ExpansiĂłn MX Feb 07, 2026

Tepatitlán

Home
VS
01:00

Correcaminos Uat

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Tepatitlán Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Correcaminos Uat Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 91%
Standings 80%
Market 50%
Combined: 55% Draw Risk: 35%
xG: 1.99 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 0.2 Position gap: 10 places
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Tepatitlán Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
14%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Correcaminos Uat Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (22%) 2-0 (22%) 3-0 (15%) 0-0 (11%) 1-1 (4%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 16%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Under 2.5 Goals 64%
Tepatitlán Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Tepatitlán vs Dorados 0-0
Jan 24 Tepatitlán vs Tapatío 2-0
Jan 18 Tepatitlán vs CDS Tampi… 0-1
Jan 11 Tepatitlán vs Atlante FC 1-1
Nov 23 Tepatitlán vs CDS Tampi… 1-0
Nov 21 Tepatitlán vs CDS Tampi… 0-1
Nov 15 Tepatitlán vs Atlante FC 1-1
Nov 13 Tepatitlán vs Atlante FC 1-0
Nov 01 Tepatitlán vs CA La Paz 0-1
Oct 25 Tepatitlán vs Alebrijes… 1-1
Correcaminos Uat Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Correcami… vs Tlaxcala 2-1
Jan 25 Correcami… vs Leones Ne… 0-0
Jan 17 Correcami… vs CA La Paz 0-3
Jan 11 Correcami… vs Monarcas 3-0
Nov 08 Correcami… vs Alebrijes… 1-1
Nov 01 Correcami… vs Mineros d… 0-2
Oct 26 Correcami… vs Cancún 5-0
Oct 18 Correcami… vs Dorados 1-0
Oct 04 Correcami… vs Irapuato 4-1
Sep 27 Correcami… vs Venados FC 3-6
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 30, 2025 Correcaminos Uat 1 - 4 Tepatitlán Liga de Expans…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Tepatitlán to win (64% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 64% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Tepatitlán Power 0
Correcaminos Uat Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Tepatitlán Position

+10

Position Gap

12

Correcaminos Uat Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.