Liga de ExpansiĂłn MX · Feb 08, 2026 18:00
Tlaxcala
PWR 35
Leones Negros UDG
PWR 35
Tlaxcala
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
Leones Negros UDG
PWR 35
49% H
24% D
27% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Tlaxcala to win (63% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
63%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (13%)
1-0 (11%)
3-0 (10%)
2-1 (9%)
1-1 (8%)
3-1 (7%)
1X2H
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk23%
Accuracy42%
FORM_DOMINANTHOME_WIN_RATEAWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Strong home team = lower draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Tlaxcala Form
LWWLL
STABLE
Leones Negros … Form
LDLWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.555%
BTTS45%
Under 2.545%
Tlaxcala Goals
0
10%
1
23%
2
26%
3
21%
4
12%
Leones Negr… Goals
0
50%
1
35%
2
12%
3
3%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.34
Tlaxcalavs
0.69
Leones Negros …Decision Breakdown
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum89%
Standings70%
Market50%
League Standings
#6
Tlaxcala+5
Gap#11
Leones Negr…
WR 100% 6 pts
WR 0% 4 pts
Tlaxcala
8.0%
| Jan 31 | Tlaxcala v Correca… | 2-1 |
| Jan 25 | Tlaxcala v Irapuato | 2-1 |
| Jan 17 | Tlaxcala v CancĂşn | 1-0 |
| Jan 10 | Tlaxcala v Mineros… | 4-1 |
| Nov 07 | Tlaxcala v Venados… | 5-1 |
| Nov 02 | Tlaxcala v Monarcas | 0-1 |
| Oct 26 | Tlaxcala v Dorados | 1-1 |
| Oct 11 | Tlaxcala v CDS Tam… | 1-1 |
| Oct 05 | Tlaxcala v Atlante… | 3-0 |
| Sep 28 | Tlaxcala v CA La P… | 3-3 |
Leones Negros …
6.0%
| Jan 30 | Leones … v TapatĂo | 2-0 |
| Jan 25 | Leones … v Correca… | 0-0 |
| Jan 18 | Leones … v Irapuato | 4-1 |
| Jan 11 | Leones … v CDS Tam… | 4-1 |
| Jan 04 | Leones … v Monterr… | 0-3 |
| Nov 17 | Leones … v CDS Tam… | 4-1 |
| Nov 14 | Leones … v CDS Tam… | 1-0 |
| Nov 09 | Leones … v Cancún | 0-1 |
| Nov 02 | Leones … v Venados… | 1-0 |
| Oct 26 | Leones … v Monarcas | 2-3 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Aug 31, 2025 | Leones Negros… | 2-2 | Tlaxcala |
| Feb 02, 2025 | Leones Negros… | 5-1 | Tlaxcala |
| Aug 18, 2024 | Tlaxcala | 1-2 | Leones Negros… |
| Mar 24, 2024 | Tlaxcala | 0-4 | Leones Negros… |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Leones Negros… | 2-1 | Tlaxcala |
| Mar 31, 2023 | Leones Negros… | 3-0 | Tlaxcala |
| Sep 01, 2022 | Tlaxcala | 2-0 | Leones Negros… |
| Mar 20, 2022 | Tlaxcala | 1-2 | Leones Negros… |
| Oct 27, 2021 | Leones Negros… | 1-0 | Tlaxcala |
| Jan 17, 2021 | Leones Negros… | 1-1 | Tlaxcala |
Key Factors
Tlaxcala struggling (3L in last 5)
Leones Negros UDG struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.