AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga MX Jan 14, 2026

Cruz Azul

Home
VS
23:00

Atlas

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Cruz Azul Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
Atlas Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%) M85+S60 (75.3%) HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 67%
Market 50%
Combined: 63% Draw Risk: 21%
xG: 4.50 - 0.29
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.3
Score Prediction Analysis
Cruz Azul Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Atlas Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
75%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (13%) 2-0 (8%) 1-0 (4%) 3-1 (4%) 2-1 (2%) 1-1 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Under 2.5 Goals 44%
Cruz Azul Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 11 Cruz Azul vs León FC 2-1
Jan 05 Cruz Azul vs CDS Tampi… 2-1
Dec 10 Cruz Azul vs Flamengo 1-2
Dec 07 Cruz Azul vs Tigres UA… 1-1
Dec 04 Cruz Azul vs Tigres UA… 1-1
Dec 01 Cruz Azul vs Guadalaja… 3-2
Nov 28 Cruz Azul vs Guadalaja… 0-0
Nov 09 Cruz Azul vs U.N.A.M. … 2-3
Nov 01 Cruz Azul vs Puebla 0-3
Oct 26 Cruz Azul vs Monterrey 2-0
Atlas Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 10 Atlas vs Puebla 1-0
Jan 05 Atlas vs Monterrey 1-2
Jan 04 Atlas vs Guadalaja… 0-0
Dec 30 Atlas vs Necaxa 5-3
Nov 08 Atlas vs Club Tiju… 2-0
Nov 01 Atlas vs Toluca 0-0
Oct 26 Atlas vs Guadalaja… 4-1
Oct 23 Atlas vs León FC 2-0
Oct 18 Atlas vs Atletico … 2-0
Oct 04 Atlas vs FC Juarez 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Cruz Azul struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jul 20, 2025 Atlas 3 - 3 Cruz Azul Liga MX
Jan 12, 2025 Cruz Azul 1 - 1 Atlas Liga MX
Nov 07, 2024 Atlas 2 - 2 Cruz Azul Liga MX
Apr 22, 2024 Cruz Azul 2 - 2 Atlas Liga MX
Jul 02, 2023 Atlas 2 - 0 Cruz Azul Liga MX
May 06, 2023 Cruz Azul 0 - 1 Atlas Liga MX
Feb 23, 2023 Cruz Azul 1 - 0 Atlas Liga MX
Jul 16, 2022 Atlas 3 - 2 Cruz Azul Liga MX
Jun 27, 2022 Atlas 2 - 2 Cruz Azul Campeón de Cam…
Apr 03, 2022 Cruz Azul 1 - 0 Atlas Liga MX
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Cruz Azul to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Cruz Azul Power 0
Atlas Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Cruz Azul Position

+1

Position Gap

3

Atlas Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.