AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga MX Feb 01, 2026

León FC

Home
VS
01:10

Tigres UANL

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
León FC Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Tigres UANL Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 85%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 36%
xG: 2.47 - 1.10
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.5 vs 1.1
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
León FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Tigres UANL Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
33%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (9%) 2-0 (9%) 3-1 (8%) 1-1 (8%) 3-0 (7%) 1-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 61%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Under 2.5 Goals 35%
León FC Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 18 León FC vs U.N.A.M. … 1-1
Jan 14 León FC vs Pachuca 2-1
Jan 11 León FC vs Cruz Azul 2-1
Jan 03 León FC vs Necaxa 1-2
Nov 09 León FC vs Puebla 1-2
Nov 02 León FC vs Club Amér… 2-0
Oct 26 León FC vs U.N.A.M. … 1-1
Oct 23 León FC vs Atlas 2-0
Oct 18 León FC vs Santos La… 2-0
Oct 05 León FC vs Toluca 2-4
Tigres UANL Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 18 Tigres UA… vs Toluca 0-0
Jan 15 Tigres UA… vs U.N.A.M. … 0-1
Jan 12 Tigres UA… vs Atletico … 1-2
Dec 15 Tigres UA… vs Toluca 2-1
Dec 12 Tigres UA… vs Toluca 1-0
Dec 07 Tigres UA… vs Cruz Azul 1-1
Dec 04 Tigres UA… vs Cruz Azul 1-1
Nov 30 Tigres UA… vs Club Tiju… 5-0
Nov 27 Tigres UA… vs Club Tiju… 3-0
Nov 08 Tigres UA… vs Atletico … 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • León FC struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 14, 2025 Tigres UANL 0 - 0 León FC Liga MX
Feb 23, 2025 León FC 1 - 0 Tigres UANL Liga MX
Sep 28, 2024 Tigres UANL 2 - 2 León FC Liga MX
Jan 18, 2024 León FC 1 - 2 Tigres UANL Liga MX
Jul 16, 2023 Tigres UANL 1 - 0 León FC Liga MX
May 04, 2023 León FC 3 - 1 Tigres UANL CONCACAF Champ…
May 01, 2023 León FC 3 - 0 Tigres UANL Liga MX
Apr 26, 2023 Tigres UANL 2 - 1 León FC CONCACAF Champ…
Sep 11, 2022 Tigres UANL 0 - 1 León FC Liga MX
Mar 12, 2022 León FC 0 - 3 Tigres UANL Liga MX
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
León FC Power 0
Tigres UANL Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

12

León FC Position

-5

Position Gap

7

Tigres UANL Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 100%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.