AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
FKF Premier League Feb 09, 2026

Nairobi United

Home
VS
13:00

Mara Sugar

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Nairobi United Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Mara Sugar Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 42%
Standings 55%
Market 50%
Combined: 39% Draw Risk: 49%
xG: 1.13 - 1.72
High draw risk (49%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Nairobi United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
32%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Mara Sugar Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
18%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (11%) 0-1 (10%) 1-2 (10%) 0-2 (9%) 1-0 (7%) 2-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 56%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Under 2.5 Goals 47%
Nairobi United Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Nairobi U… vs APS Bomet 1-2
Feb 01 Nairobi U… vs Azam 1-0
Jan 25 Nairobi U… vs Azam 1-2
Jan 19 Nairobi U… vs Police 1-1
Jan 15 Nairobi U… vs KCB 0-2
Jan 11 Nairobi U… vs Ulinzi St… 1-1
Jan 07 Nairobi U… vs AFC Leopa… 0-2
Jan 04 Nairobi U… vs Shabana 1-3
Dec 21 Nairobi U… vs Gor Mahia 1-1
Dec 17 Nairobi U… vs Tusker 0-1
Mara Sugar Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Mara Sugar vs Homeboyz 3-3
Jan 24 Mara Sugar vs Police 0-1
Jan 18 Mara Sugar vs Gor Mahia 3-0
Jan 14 Mara Sugar vs Police 1-1
Jan 10 Mara Sugar vs APS Bomet 1-1
Dec 22 Mara Sugar vs Murang'a … 1-3
Dec 17 Mara Sugar vs Shabana 0-0
Dec 13 Mara Sugar vs Kariobang… 2-0
Dec 08 Mara Sugar vs Mathare U… 0-1
Nov 29 Mara Sugar vs Tusker 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Nairobi United struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 01, 2025 Mara Sugar 0 - 1 Nairobi United FKF Premier Le…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Nairobi United Power 0
Mara Sugar Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Nairobi United Position

+3

Position Gap

13

Mara Sugar Position
Home Win Rate: 25%
Away Win Rate: 22%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.