AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ligue 1 Feb 10, 2026

New Jack

Home
VS
12:00

Bukavu Dawa

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
New Jack Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Bukavu Dawa Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 91%
Standings 68%
Market 50%
Combined: 54% Draw Risk: 40%
xG: 2.21 - 0.36
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.2 vs 0.4 Position gap: 7 places
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
New Jack Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Bukavu Dawa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
70%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (19%) 1-0 (17%) 3-0 (14%) 0-0 (8%) 2-1 (7%) 1-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 27%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Under 2.5 Goals 55%
New Jack Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 New Jack vs FC Mk de … 1-1
Jan 28 New Jack vs Etoile de… 0-1
Jan 25 New Jack vs Dauphins … 2-0
Jan 15 New Jack vs Céleste 0-0
Jan 11 New Jack vs Motema Pe… 1-2
Jan 03 New Jack vs Renaissan… 1-0
Dec 28 New Jack vs Anges Ver… 0-0
Dec 20 New Jack vs Vita Club 1-2
Dec 17 New Jack vs Rangers FC 2-0
Dec 14 New Jack vs JSK 1-0
Bukavu Dawa Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 28 Bukavu Da… vs Renaissan… 0-0
Jan 24 Bukavu Da… vs Céleste 1-0
Jan 20 Bukavu Da… vs Dauphins … 0-1
Jan 16 Bukavu Da… vs Motema Pe… 1-1
Jan 10 Bukavu Da… vs Anges Ver… 0-0
Dec 26 Bukavu Da… vs Rangers FC 1-0
Dec 20 Bukavu Da… vs JSK 0-1
Dec 17 Bukavu Da… vs Renaissan… 0-2
Dec 03 Bukavu Da… vs FC MK 2-1
Nov 19 Bukavu Da… vs Etoile de… 3-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 13, 2025 Bukavu Dawa 2 - 1 New Jack Ligue 1
Nov 20, 2024 Bukavu Dawa 0 - 0 New Jack Ligue 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: New Jack to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
New Jack Power 0
Bukavu Dawa Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

New Jack Position

+7

Position Gap

14

Bukavu Dawa Position
Home Win Rate: 25%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.