AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League One Feb 07, 2026

Port Vale

Home
VS
12:31

Brighton

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Port Vale Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Brighton Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 72%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 34%
xG: 2.21 - 1.42
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.2 vs 1.4
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Port Vale Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Brighton Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
24%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 2-2 (7%) 2-0 (6%) 1-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Under 2.5 Goals 33%
Port Vale Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 03 Port Vale vs AFC Wimbl… 0-1
Jan 31 Port Vale vs Leyton Or… 0-1
Jan 24 Port Vale vs Exeter Ci… 1-3
Jan 17 Port Vale vs Mansfield… 3-0
Jan 13 Port Vale vs Bolton 0-1
Jan 09 Port Vale vs Fleetwood… 1-0
Jan 01 Port Vale vs Blackpool 5-1
Dec 29 Port Vale vs Brentford 1-0
Dec 26 Port Vale vs Huddersfi… 5-0
Dec 20 Port Vale vs Peterboro… 0-1
Brighton Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 03 Brighton vs Doncaster 1-2
Jan 31 Brighton vs Cardiff 2-2
Jan 31 Brighton vs Everton 1-1
Jan 27 Brighton vs Bolton 2-1
Jan 24 Brighton vs Fulham 2-1
Jan 22 Brighton vs Lincoln 2-1
Jan 19 Brighton vs Bournemou… 1-1
Jan 17 Brighton vs Huddersfi… 3-1
Jan 11 Brighton vs Mancheste… 1-2
Jan 10 Brighton vs Boreham W… 0-5
Key Analysis Factors
  • Port Vale struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Brighton struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 16, 2025 Brighton 0 - 0 Port Vale League One
Final Verdict

PRO: Port Vale to win (70% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 2-1 70% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 75
Port Vale Power 28
Brighton Power 36
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.