AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League One Feb 07, 2026

Mansfield Town FC

Home
VS
15:01

Exeter City

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Mansfield Town FC Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Exeter City Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 59%
Market 50%
Combined: 62% Draw Risk: 22%
xG: 4.50 - 0.44
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.4
Score Prediction Analysis
Mansfield Town FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Exeter City Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
64%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (11%) 2-0 (7%) 3-1 (5%) 1-0 (3%) 2-1 (3%) 1-1 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 35%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%
Mansfield Town FC Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Mansfield… vs Wycombe 0-0
Jan 27 Mansfield… vs Plymouth 1-1
Jan 24 Mansfield… vs Stevenage 1-1
Jan 17 Mansfield… vs Port Vale 3-0
Jan 11 Mansfield… vs Sheffield… 3-4
Jan 01 Mansfield… vs Bradford 3-0
Dec 29 Mansfield… vs Bolton 0-1
Dec 26 Mansfield… vs Barnsley 2-3
Dec 20 Mansfield… vs Stockport… 1-2
Dec 13 Mansfield… vs AFC Wimbl… 0-0
Exeter City Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Exeter Ci… vs Rotherham… 0-4
Jan 27 Exeter Ci… vs Reading FC 2-2
Jan 24 Exeter Ci… vs Port Vale 1-3
Jan 17 Exeter Ci… vs Stevenage 3-0
Jan 10 Exeter Ci… vs Mancheste… 10-1
Jan 04 Exeter Ci… vs Huddersfi… 2-2
Jan 01 Exeter Ci… vs Luton 1-0
Dec 29 Exeter Ci… vs AFC Wimbl… 0-1
Dec 26 Exeter Ci… vs Cardiff 1-0
Dec 20 Exeter Ci… vs Barnsley 3-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 16, 2025 Exeter City 1 - 2 Mansfield Town FC League One
May 03, 2025 Mansfield Town FC 3 - 0 Exeter City League One
Mar 11, 2025 Exeter City 2 - 0 Mansfield Town FC League One
Mar 04, 2022 Mansfield Town FC 2 - 1 Exeter City League Two
Oct 23, 2021 Exeter City 2 - 1 Mansfield Town FC League Two
Apr 05, 2021 Exeter City 0 - 0 Mansfield Town FC League Two
Sep 26, 2020 Mansfield Town FC 1 - 2 Exeter City League Two
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Mansfield Town FC Power 37
Exeter City Power 36
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

11

Mansfield Town FC Position

+2

Position Gap

13

Exeter City Position
Home Win Rate: 46%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.