AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League One Feb 07, 2026

Northampton Town FC

Home
VS
15:01

Stevenage

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Northampton Town FC Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Stevenage Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 91%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 40%
xG: 2.25 - 0.44
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.2 vs 0.4
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Northampton Town FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Stevenage Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
64%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (17%) 1-0 (15%) 3-0 (13%) 2-1 (8%) 0-0 (7%) 1-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 32%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Under 2.5 Goals 52%
Northampton Town FC Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 03 Northampt… vs Burnley 2-2
Jan 31 Northampt… vs Reading FC 0-2
Jan 27 Northampt… vs Rotherham… 2-1
Jan 24 Northampt… vs Blackpool 2-0
Jan 17 Northampt… vs Wycombe 1-2
Jan 04 Northampt… vs Bolton 0-0
Jan 01 Northampt… vs Stockport 0-0
Dec 29 Northampt… vs Huddersfi… 2-0
Dec 26 Northampt… vs Brighton 5-1
Dec 19 Northampt… vs AFC Wimbl… 3-1
Stevenage Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Stevenage vs Burnley 3-1
Jan 27 Stevenage vs Peterboro… 1-0
Jan 24 Stevenage vs Mansfield… 1-1
Jan 20 Stevenage vs Bolton 0-0
Jan 17 Stevenage vs Exeter Ci… 3-0
Jan 10 Stevenage vs Bolton 2-1
Jan 01 Stevenage vs Plymouth 1-1
Dec 29 Stevenage vs Cardiff 2-1
Dec 26 Stevenage vs AFC Wimbl… 0-0
Dec 20 Stevenage vs Brighton 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Northampton Town FC struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 16, 2025 Stevenage 2 - 0 Northampton Town FC League One
Jan 01, 2025 Northampton Town FC 0 - 0 Stevenage League One
Dec 03, 2024 Stevenage 2 - 0 Northampton Town FC Pro League
Dec 26, 2023 Stevenage 3 - 0 Northampton Town FC Pro League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Northampton Town FC Power 31
Stevenage Power 36
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

23

Northampton Town FC Position

-15

Position Gap

8

Stevenage Position
Home Win Rate: 36%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.