Challenge League · Feb 07, 2026 15:30
Mgarr United
PWR 35
Fgura United
PWR 35
Mgarr United
PWR 35
2 - 4
FT
Fgura United
PWR 35
59% H
22% D
19% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Mgarr United to win (58% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
58%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-1 (7%)
2-1 (6%)
3-2 (6%)
2-2 (5%)
3-0 (4%)
1-1 (4%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 2-4
Stability Protocol
GOLD · 3 rules · 55%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk41%
Accuracy73%
AWAY_FORM_STRONGAWAY_SCORINGHOME_LEAKING
AH: Draw No Bet (AH 0) - High draw risk
AH_0
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (40.5%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 72%+ confidence
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Mgarr United Form
DDWWL
STABLE
Fgura United Form
LLLLD
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.575%
BTTS80%
Under 2.525%
Mgarr United Goals
0
4%
1
12%
2
20%
3
22%
4
18%
Fgura United Goals
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.35
Mgarr Unitedvs
1.76
Fgura UnitedDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum88%
Standings48%
Market50%
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#7
Mgarr United-1
Gap#6
Fgura United
WR 29% 21 pts
WR 86% 25 pts
Mgarr United
12.0%
| Feb 01 | Mgarr U… v Zurrieq | 1-1 |
| Jan 28 | Mgarr U… v Mosta | 0-0 |
| Jan 18 | Mgarr U… v Mtarfa | 1-3 |
| Jan 10 | Mgarr U… v Swieqi … | 5-1 |
| Dec 21 | Mgarr U… v Sirens | 2-3 |
| Dec 13 | Mgarr U… v Pietà H… | 1-1 |
| Dec 10 | Mgarr U… v Melita | 1-3 |
| Nov 29 | Mgarr U… v Marsa | 2-3 |
| Nov 23 | Mgarr U… v Santa L… | 3-3 |
| Nov 01 | Mgarr U… v Zebbug … | 0-1 |
Fgura United
2.0%
| Feb 01 | Fgura U… v Sirens | 1-5 |
| Jan 27 | Fgura U… v Hamrun … | 5-0 |
| Jan 24 | Fgura U… v Gudja U… | 2-1 |
| Jan 18 | Fgura U… v Pietà H… | 1-0 |
| Jan 11 | Fgura U… v Gudja U… | 1-1 |
| Jan 04 | Fgura U… v Santa L… | 2-1 |
| Dec 20 | Fgura U… v Zurrieq | 1-4 |
| Dec 14 | Fgura U… v Mtarfa | 8-0 |
| Dec 10 | Fgura U… v Balzan … | 1-2 |
| Nov 30 | Fgura U… v Vittori… | 2-3 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Dec 21, 2024 | Mgarr United | 0-0 | Fgura United |
| Feb 20, 2022 | Fgura United | 2-0 | Mgarr United |
| Oct 31, 2021 | Mgarr United | 1-0 | Fgura United |
Key Factors
Fgura United struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.