AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Women's Championship Feb 08, 2026

Southampton Women

Home
VS
14:00

Newcastle United Women

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Southampton Women Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Newcastle United Women Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 78%
Standings 52%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 33%
xG: 2.33 - 1.47
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.3 vs 1.5
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Southampton Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
12%
Newcastle United Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
23%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 2-2 (7%) 2-0 (6%) 1-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Under 2.5 Goals 30%
Southampton Women Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Southampt… vs Crystal P… 3-1
Jan 25 Southampt… vs Sunderlan… 1-0
Jan 10 Southampt… vs Portsmout… 4-0
Dec 21 Southampt… vs Sheffield… 0-2
Dec 08 Southampt… vs Newcastle… 1-0
Nov 23 Southampt… vs Charlton … 1-2
Nov 16 Southampt… vs Durham Wo… 1-1
Nov 09 Southampt… vs Charlton … 2-1
Nov 02 Southampt… vs Nottingha… 2-3
Oct 19 Southampt… vs Brighton … 3-0
Newcastle United Women Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Newcastle… vs Ipswich T… 1-1
Jan 25 Newcastle… vs Charlton … 2-1
Jan 16 Newcastle… vs West Ham … 0-3
Dec 21 Newcastle… vs Portsmout… 1-2
Dec 14 Newcastle… vs Liverpool… 4-0
Dec 08 Newcastle… vs Southampt… 1-0
Nov 23 Newcastle… vs Everton W… 1-3
Nov 16 Newcastle… vs Sunderlan… 3-1
Nov 09 Newcastle… vs Durham Wo… 1-1
Nov 02 Newcastle… vs Ipswich T… 1-4
Key Analysis Factors
  • Southampton Women in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 08, 2025 Newcastle United Wo… 1 - 0 Southampton Women Women's Champi…
Feb 02, 2025 Southampton Women 2 - 2 Newcastle United Wo… Women's Champi…
Nov 17, 2024 Newcastle United Wo… 1 - 1 Southampton Women Women's Champi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Southampton Women Power 43
Newcastle United Women Power 38
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Southampton Women Position

+1

Position Gap

6

Newcastle United Women Position
Home Win Rate: 43%
Away Win Rate: 43%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.