AI Match Insights

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Serie B Jan 31, 2026

Sampdoria

Home
VS
18:30

Spezia

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Sampdoria Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Spezia Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 63%
Market 49%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 51%
Asian Handicap: Home -0.75
xG: 3.73 - 0.56
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.7 vs 0.6 Asian Handicap: Home -0.75
High draw risk (51%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Sampdoria Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
9%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
Spezia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
57%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (12%) 2-0 (10%) 3-1 (7%) 2-1 (5%) 1-0 (5%) 1-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 42%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Under 2.5 Goals 37%
Sampdoria Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 25 Sampdoria vs Catanzaro 0-0
Jan 16 Sampdoria vs Virtus En… 1-1
Jan 10 Sampdoria vs Avellino 2-1
Dec 27 Sampdoria vs Reggiana … 2-1
Dec 20 Sampdoria vs Padova 1-1
Dec 12 Sampdoria vs Palermo 1-0
Dec 07 Sampdoria vs Carrarese 3-2
Nov 30 Sampdoria vs Spezia 1-0
Nov 24 Sampdoria vs Juve Stab… 1-0
Nov 08 Sampdoria vs Venezia 3-1
Spezia Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 24 Spezia vs Avellino 1-0
Jan 18 Spezia vs Palermo 1-0
Jan 10 Spezia vs Sudtirol 2-1
Dec 27 Spezia vs Pescara 2-1
Dec 20 Spezia vs Frosinone 2-1
Dec 13 Spezia vs Modena 0-2
Dec 08 Spezia vs Virtus En… 0-1
Nov 30 Spezia vs Sampdoria 1-0
Nov 23 Spezia vs Mantova 4-1
Nov 07 Spezia vs Bari 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Spezia struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 30, 2025 Spezia 1 - 0 Sampdoria Serie B
Aug 18, 2025 Spezia 1 - 1 Sampdoria Coppa Italia
Apr 06, 2025 Spezia 2 - 0 Sampdoria Serie B
Dec 14, 2024 Sampdoria 0 - 0 Spezia Serie B
Dec 14, 2024 Sampdoria 0 - 0 Spezia Pro League
Apr 20, 2024 Spezia 0 - 0 Sampdoria Pro League
Apr 20, 2024 Spezia 0 - 0 Sampdoria Serie B
Nov 24, 2023 Sampdoria 2 - 1 Spezia Serie B
Nov 24, 2023 Sampdoria 2 - 1 Spezia Pro League
Apr 22, 2023 Sampdoria 1 - 1 Spezia Serie A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Sampdoria to win (50% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 50% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Sampdoria Power 32
Spezia Power 30
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

14

Sampdoria Position

+3

Position Gap

17

Spezia Position
Home Win Rate: 46%
Away Win Rate: 18%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.