AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie B Feb 07, 2026

Spezia

Home
VS
18:30

Virtus Entella

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Spezia Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Virtus Entella Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 89%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 43%
xG: 2.07 - 0.41
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.1 vs 0.4
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Spezia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Virtus Entella Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
66%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (18%) 1-0 (17%) 3-0 (12%) 0-0 (8%) 2-1 (7%) 1-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 29%
Over 2.5 Goals 43%
Under 2.5 Goals 57%
Spezia Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Spezia vs Sampdoria 1-0
Jan 24 Spezia vs Avellino 1-0
Jan 18 Spezia vs Palermo 1-0
Jan 10 Spezia vs Sudtirol 2-1
Dec 27 Spezia vs Pescara 2-1
Dec 20 Spezia vs Frosinone 2-1
Dec 13 Spezia vs Modena 0-2
Dec 08 Spezia vs Virtus En… 0-1
Nov 30 Spezia vs Sampdoria 1-0
Nov 23 Spezia vs Mantova 4-1
Virtus Entella Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Virtus En… vs Frosinone 1-1
Jan 24 Virtus En… vs Juve Stab… 1-0
Jan 16 Virtus En… vs Sampdoria 1-1
Jan 10 Virtus En… vs Monza 1-0
Dec 27 Virtus En… vs Venezia 1-0
Dec 21 Virtus En… vs Sudtirol 1-1
Dec 14 Virtus En… vs Carrarese 3-1
Dec 08 Virtus En… vs Spezia 0-1
Nov 29 Virtus En… vs Catanzaro 3-2
Nov 22 Virtus En… vs Palermo 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Spezia struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 08, 2025 Virtus Entella 0 - 1 Spezia Serie B
Jul 27, 2020 Spezia 0 - 0 Virtus Entella Serie B
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Spezia to win (50% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 50% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Spezia Power 30
Virtus Entella Power 30
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

17

Spezia Position

-1

Position Gap

16

Virtus Entella Position
Home Win Rate: 27%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.