AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie B Feb 10, 2026

Padova

Home
VS
19:00

Carrarese

Away
AI Predictions 41.2% Confidence
Padova Win
31.0%
Draw
27.8%
Carrarese Win
41.2%
Away Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 42%
Market 50%
Combined: 58% Draw Risk: 24%
xG: 3.45 - 1.10
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.5 vs 1.1
Score Prediction Analysis
Padova Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
11%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
19%
Carrarese Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
33%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (8%) 3-0 (7%) 2-1 (7%) 2-0 (6%) 3-2 (4%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Under 2.5 Goals 30%
Padova Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Padova vs Monza 1-2
Jan 25 Padova vs Sudtirol 3-0
Jan 17 Padova vs Mantova 1-2
Jan 11 Padova vs Modena 2-0
Dec 27 Padova vs Palermo 1-0
Dec 20 Padova vs Sampdoria 1-1
Dec 13 Padova vs Reggiana … 1-2
Dec 08 Padova vs Cesena 1-1
Nov 29 Padova vs Pescara 0-1
Nov 22 Padova vs Venezia 0-2
Carrarese Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Carrarese vs Venezia 2-1
Jan 23 Carrarese vs Empoli 3-0
Jan 17 Carrarese vs Avellino 1-2
Jan 10 Carrarese vs Bari 1-0
Dec 27 Carrarese vs Mantova 0-0
Dec 20 Carrarese vs Monza 4-1
Dec 14 Carrarese vs Virtus En… 3-1
Dec 07 Carrarese vs Sampdoria 3-2
Nov 29 Carrarese vs Palermo 5-0
Nov 22 Carrarese vs Reggiana … 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Carrarese in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Padova struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 31, 2025 Carrarese 0 - 0 Padova Serie B
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Padova Power 32
Carrarese Power 35
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

13

Padova Position

-4

Position Gap

9

Carrarese Position
Home Win Rate: 18%
Away Win Rate: 18%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.