AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Brasiliense Feb 07, 2026

Samambaia FC

Home
VS
19:00

BrasĂ­lia

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Samambaia FC Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
BrasĂ­lia Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 61%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 28%
xG: 2.37 - 0.32
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.4 vs 0.3
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Samambaia FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
12%
BrasĂ­lia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
73%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (19%) 1-0 (16%) 3-0 (15%) 0-0 (7%) 2-1 (6%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Under 2.5 Goals 53%
Samambaia FC Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Samambaia… vs Brasilien… 0-1
Jan 24 Samambaia… vs Real FC 0-1
Jan 21 Samambaia… vs Gama 0-0
Jan 18 Samambaia… vs Ceilândia 2-1
Jan 11 Samambaia… vs Capital B… 2-2
Mar 08 Samambaia… vs Uberlândia 1-1
Feb 17 Samambaia… vs Real FC 1-1
Feb 12 Samambaia… vs Sobradinh… 1-0
Feb 08 Samambaia… vs Gama 0-1
Jan 26 Samambaia… vs Capital B… 1-0
BrasĂ­lia Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 BrasĂ­lia vs ARUC 0-1
Jan 25 Brasília vs Ceilândia 1-2
Jan 21 Brasília vs Paranoá 1-0
Jan 17 BrasĂ­lia vs Gama 0-2
Jan 10 Brasília vs Brasilien… 4-0
Mar 18 Brasília vs Brasilien… 3-1
Feb 26 BrasĂ­lia vs Gama 0-2
Feb 15 Brasília vs Uberlândia 3-3
Feb 12 Brasília vs Samambaia… 3-0
Feb 13 BrasĂ­lia vs Gama 4-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • BrasĂ­lia struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 12, 2023 Samambaia FC 3 - 0 BrasĂ­lia Brasiliense
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Samambaia FC Power 0
BrasĂ­lia Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Samambaia FC Position

+4

Position Gap

9

BrasĂ­lia Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.