AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Brasiliense Feb 07, 2026

Ceilândia

Home
VS
19:00

Capital Brasilia

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Ceilândia Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Capital Brasilia Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 45%
Market 50%
Combined: 59% Draw Risk: 17%
xG: 4.42 - 0.71
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.4 vs 0.7
Score Prediction Analysis
Ceilândia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Capital Brasilia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
49%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (9%) 3-1 (6%) 2-0 (6%) 2-1 (4%) 1-0 (3%) 3-2 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%
Ceilândia Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Ceilândia vs Real FC 2-0
Jan 25 Ceilândia vs Brasília 1-2
Jan 21 Ceilândia vs ARUC 3-0
Jan 18 Ceilândia vs Samambaia… 2-1
Jan 10 Ceilândia vs Sobradinh… 1-1
Mar 22 Ceilândia vs Capital B… 2-1
Mar 16 Ceilândia vs Capital B… 1-1
Feb 23 Ceilândia vs Capital B… 4-1
Jan 22 Ceilândia vs Capital B… 1-1
Apr 06 Ceilândia vs Capital B… 0-0
Capital Brasilia Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Capital B… vs Sobradinh… 2-3
Jan 24 Capital B… vs Paranoá 0-3
Jan 21 Capital B… vs Real FC 0-1
Jan 17 Capital B… vs ARUC 0-3
Jan 11 Capital B… vs Samambaia… 2-2
Jul 27 Capital B… vs Rioverden… 6-1
Jul 26 Capital B… vs Aparecide… 2-1
Jul 20 Capital B… vs Barcelona… 3-0
May 23 Capital B… vs Botafogo 1-0
Apr 30 Capital B… vs Botafogo 4-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Ceilândia in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 22, 2025 Capital Brasilia 2 - 1 Ceilândia Brasiliense
Mar 16, 2025 Ceilândia 1 - 1 Capital Brasilia Brasiliense
Feb 23, 2025 Capital Brasilia 4 - 1 Ceilândia Brasiliense
Jan 22, 2025 Ceilândia 1 - 1 Capital Brasilia Copa Verde
Apr 06, 2024 Capital Brasilia 0 - 0 Ceilândia Brasiliense
Mar 31, 2024 Ceilândia 1 - 1 Capital Brasilia Brasiliense
Feb 08, 2024 Capital Brasilia 5 - 1 Ceilândia Brasiliense
Mar 12, 2023 Ceilândia 0 - 1 Capital Brasilia Brasiliense
Mar 23, 2022 Ceilândia 2 - 1 Capital Brasilia Brasiliense
Mar 19, 2022 Capital Brasilia 0 - 2 Ceilândia Brasiliense
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (18% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 18% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Ceilândia Power 0
Capital Brasilia Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Ceilândia Position

+3

Position Gap

6

Capital Brasilia Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 100%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.