Gaúcho - 1 · Jan 10, 2026 22:00
Guaraní de Bagé
PWR 35
1 - 1
FT
Monsoon
PWR 35
45% H 25% D 30% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Guaraní de Bagé to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (28%) 0-0 (28%) 2-0 (14%) 1-1 (8%) 0-1 (7%) 3-0 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 0.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Guaraní de Bagé Form LWLWL
STABLE
Monsoon Form DDLDW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.514%
BTTS15%
Under 2.586%
Guaraní de … Goals
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
6%
4
2%
Monsoon Goals
0
76%
1
21%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02
Guaraní de Bagé
vs
0.27
Monsoon
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum71%
Standings52%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Guaraní de …
+1
Gap
#4
Monsoon
WR 0% 1 pts WR 0% 1 pts
Guaraní de Bagé 8.0%
Mar 13 Guaraní… v Athleti… 3-1
Feb 26 Guaraní… v Santos 2-1
Feb 23 Guaraní… v São Luiz 0-2
Feb 21 Guaraní… v São Luiz 0-1
Feb 15 Guaraní… v São Luiz 0-1
Feb 12 Guaraní… v Caxias 0-0
Feb 09 Guaraní… v Ypirang… 1-0
Feb 07 Guaraní… v Monsoon 1-3
Mar 02 Guaraní… v Remo 4-1
Feb 19 Guaraní… v Avenida 0-1
Monsoon 10.0%
Feb 24 Monsoon v Ypirang… 1-1
Feb 20 Monsoon v Ypirang… 1-1
Feb 15 Monsoon v Interna… 2-0
Feb 13 Monsoon v São José 1-1
Feb 09 Monsoon v Avenida 2-1
Feb 07 Monsoon v Guaraní… 1-3
Jun 16 Monsoon v Inter S… 3-0
Jun 08 Monsoon v Inter S… 1-1
Aug 13 Monsoon v Guaraní… 0-0
Aug 06 Monsoon v Guaraní… 1-0
Head-to-Head (3)
Feb 07, 2025 Monsoon 1-3 Guaraní de Ba…
Aug 13, 2023 Monsoon 0-0 Guaraní de Ba…
Aug 06, 2023 Guaraní de Ba… 1-0 Monsoon
Key Factors
Guaraní de Bagé struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.