AI Match Insights
Sergipano Jan 31, 2026
Lagarto
HomeVS
19:00
AO Itabaiana
AwayAI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Lagarto Win
Draw
AO Itabaiana Win
Home Win
(39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Player Score
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
48%
Market
44%
Combined: 39%
Draw Risk: 55%
Asian Handicap: Home -0.25
xG: 0.41 - 0.33
Key Insights
Asian Handicap: Home -0.25
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Lagarto Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
AO Itabaiana Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (48%)
1-0 (20%)
0-1 (16%)
1-1 (6%)
2-0 (4%)
0-2 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
9%
Over 2.5 Goals
4%
Under 2.5 Goals
96%
Lagarto Form 14.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25 | Lagarto vs Dorense | 1-5 |
| Jan 21 | Lagarto vs GuaranĆ SE | 2-0 |
| Jan 18 | Lagarto vs ConfianƧa | 2-2 |
| Jan 10 | Lagarto vs Falcon | 2-2 |
| Mar 05 | Lagarto vs Falcon | 0-0 |
| Mar 01 | Lagarto vs Falcon | 3-0 |
| Feb 16 | Lagarto vs Sergipe | 0-4 |
| Feb 08 | Lagarto vs AO Itabaiā¦ | 0-1 |
| Feb 02 | Lagarto vs ConfianƧa | 4-0 |
| Jan 26 | Lagarto vs Dorense | 1-1 |
AO Itabaiana Form 16.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25 | AO Itabaiā¦ vs Desportivā¦ | 2-1 |
| Jan 21 | AO Itabaiā¦ vs Sergipe | 0-1 |
| Jan 16 | AO Itabaiā¦ vs Falcon | 0-2 |
| Jan 11 | AO Itabaiā¦ vs AtlĆ©tico ā¦ | 1-0 |
| Aug 30 | AO Itabaiā¦ vs ABC | 0-1 |
| Aug 24 | AO Itabaiā¦ vs MaringĆ” | 2-2 |
| Aug 16 | AO Itabaiā¦ vs Ponte Preā¦ | 1-0 |
| Aug 11 | AO Itabaiā¦ vs CSA | 1-0 |
| Aug 04 | AO Itabaiā¦ vs Brusque | 0-0 |
| Jul 27 | AO Itabaiā¦ vs Ituano | 3-1 |
Key Analysis Factors
- AO Itabaiana in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 08, 2025 | Lagarto | 0 - 1 | AO Itabaiana | Sergipano |
| Mar 09, 2024 | AO Itabaiana | 2 - 2 | Lagarto | Sergipano |
| Feb 16, 2023 | AO Itabaiana | 1 - 0 | Lagarto | Sergipano |
| Mar 20, 2022 | AO Itabaiana | 0 - 0 | Lagarto | Sergipano |
| Feb 05, 2022 | Lagarto | 1 - 2 | AO Itabaiana | Sergipano |
| May 09, 2021 | AO Itabaiana | 0 - 2 | Lagarto | Sergipano |
| May 06, 2021 | Lagarto | 2 - 0 | AO Itabaiana | Sergipano |
| May 01, 2021 | AO Itabaiana | 1 - 1 | Lagarto | Sergipano |
| Mar 24, 2021 | Lagarto | 0 - 2 | AO Itabaiana | Sergipano |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Lagarto to win (41% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Lagarto Power
0
AO Itabaiana Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
3
Lagarto Position-1
Position Gap2
AO Itabaiana Position
Home Win Rate: 25%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.