AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Sergipano Feb 04, 2026

Desportiva Aracaju

Home
VS
23:00

Sergipe

Away
AI Predictions 44.4% Confidence
Desportiva Aracaju Win
27.0%
Draw
28.6%
Sergipe Win
44.4%
Away Win (44% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-2
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 35%
Standings 32%
Market 50%
Combined: 33% Draw Risk: 43%
xG: 0.62 - 2.02
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Desportiva Aracaju Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
54%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Sergipe Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2 (15%) 0-1 (14%) 0-3 (10%) 1-2 (9%) 1-1 (9%) 0-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 40%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Under 2.5 Goals 53%
Desportiva Aracaju Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Desportiv… vs América SE 0-0
Jan 25 Desportiv… vs AO Itabai… 2-1
Jan 22 Desportiv… vs Dorense 1-2
Jan 18 Desportiv… vs Atlético … 1-1
Jan 10 Desportiv… vs Confiança 0-3
Sergipe Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Sergipe vs Confiança 1-0
Jan 24 Sergipe vs Falcon 0-2
Jan 21 Sergipe vs AO Itabai… 0-1
Jan 17 Sergipe vs GuaranĂ­ SE 1-1
Jan 11 Sergipe vs América SE 2-2
Mar 05 Sergipe vs AO Itabai… 2-0
Mar 01 Sergipe vs América M… 0-1
Feb 22 Sergipe vs GuaranĂ­ RS 4-0
Feb 19 Sergipe vs Ceará 0-2
Feb 16 Sergipe vs Lagarto 0-4
Key Analysis Factors
  • Sergipe in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Desportiva Aracaju struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (18% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 18% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Desportiva Aracaju Power 0
Sergipe Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Desportiva Aracaju Position

-9

Position Gap

1

Sergipe Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 75%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.