AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Sergipano Feb 05, 2026

Confiança

Home
VS
23:00

GuaranĂ­ SE

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Confiança Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
GuaranĂ­ SE Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 41%
xG: 2.50 - 0.22
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.5 vs 0.2
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Confiança Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
GuaranĂ­ SE Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
80%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (21%) 3-0 (17%) 1-0 (16%) 0-0 (7%) 2-1 (5%) 3-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Under 2.5 Goals 53%
Confiança Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Confiança vs Sergipe 1-0
Jan 24 Confiança vs Atlético … 2-1
Jan 21 Confiança vs Falcon 0-0
Jan 18 Confiança vs Lagarto 2-2
Jan 10 Confiança vs Desportiv… 0-3
Jan 04 Confiança vs Decisão 1-0
Oct 08 Confiança vs Atlético … 1-3
Sep 24 Confiança vs São Paulo… 0-0
Sep 21 Confiança vs Miramar 1-0
Sep 17 Confiança vs Guarabira 0-0
GuaranĂ­ SE Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Guaraní SE vs Atlético … 3-2
Jan 25 Guaraní SE vs América SE 0-0
Jan 21 GuaranĂ­ SE vs Lagarto 2-0
Jan 17 GuaranĂ­ SE vs Sergipe 1-1
Jan 11 GuaranĂ­ SE vs Dorense 3-1
Jan 13 Guaraní SE vs Confiança 5-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 13, 2025 Confiança 5 - 1 Guaraní SE Sergipano
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Confiança to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 92
Confiança Power 0
GuaranĂ­ SE Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Confiança Position

-3

Position Gap

4

GuaranĂ­ SE Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.