AI Match Insights

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Sergipano Feb 07, 2026

Sergipe

Home
VS
19:00

Dorense

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Sergipe Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Dorense Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 72%
Market 50%
Combined: 64% Draw Risk: 17%
xG: 4.08 - 0.53
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.1 vs 0.5 Position gap: 6 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Sergipe Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
7%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
20%
Dorense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
59%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (11%) 2-0 (8%) 3-1 (6%) 2-1 (4%) 1-0 (4%) 1-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 40%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Under 2.5 Goals 39%
Sergipe Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Sergipe vs Desportiv… 0-2
Jan 31 Sergipe vs Confiança 1-0
Jan 24 Sergipe vs Falcon 0-2
Jan 21 Sergipe vs AO Itabai… 0-1
Jan 17 Sergipe vs GuaranĂ­ SE 1-1
Jan 11 Sergipe vs América SE 2-2
Mar 05 Sergipe vs AO Itabai… 2-0
Mar 01 Sergipe vs América M… 0-1
Feb 22 Sergipe vs GuaranĂ­ RS 4-0
Feb 19 Sergipe vs Ceará 0-2
Dorense Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Dorense vs AO Itabai… 3-0
Jan 31 Dorense vs Falcon 1-0
Jan 25 Dorense vs Lagarto 1-5
Jan 22 Dorense vs Desportiv… 1-2
Jan 17 Dorense vs América SE 2-2
Jan 11 Dorense vs GuaranĂ­ SE 3-1
Mar 01 Dorense vs Confiança 2-1
Feb 16 Dorense vs AO Itabai… 4-1
Feb 08 Dorense vs GuaranĂ­ RS 1-2
Feb 01 Dorense vs Sergipe 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Sergipe in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 01, 2025 Dorense 0 - 1 Sergipe Sergipano
Feb 17, 2024 Sergipe 1 - 0 Dorense Sergipano
Jan 14, 2023 Sergipe 1 - 0 Dorense Sergipano
Apr 18, 2021 Sergipe 1 - 1 Dorense Sergipano
Mar 06, 2021 Dorense 0 - 3 Sergipe Sergipano
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Sergipe to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Sergipe Power 0
Dorense Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Sergipe Position

+6

Position Gap

7

Dorense Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.