AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Matogrossense Feb 05, 2026

Primavera MG

Home
VS
23:00

Cuiabá

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Primavera MG Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Cuiabá Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 78%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.33 - 0.45
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.3 vs 0.5
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Primavera MG Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
26%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Cuiabá Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
64%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (22%) 0-0 (17%) 2-0 (15%) 1-1 (10%) 0-1 (8%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 27%
Over 2.5 Goals 26%
Under 2.5 Goals 74%
Primavera MG Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Primavera… vs Mixto 4-0
Jan 28 Primavera… vs Operário … 2-1
Jan 25 Primavera… vs Luverdense 0-0
Jan 22 Primavera… vs Nova Mutu… 2-2
Jan 17 Primavera… vs União Ron… 0-0
Jan 14 Primavera… vs Sport Sin… 0-0
Jan 10 Primavera… vs Chapada 0-0
Mar 29 Primavera… vs Cuiabá 0-1
Mar 22 Primavera… vs Cuiabá 1-2
Jan 26 Primavera… vs Cuiabá 1-1
Cuiabá Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Cuiabá vs Nova Mutu… 2-1
Jan 27 Cuiabá vs União Ron… 2-1
Jan 24 Cuiabá vs Chapada 2-2
Jan 22 Cuiabá vs Sport Sin… 0-1
Jan 18 Cuiabá vs Mixto 0-0
Jan 15 Cuiabá vs CEOV Oper… 1-0
Jan 10 Cuiabá vs Luverdense 1-0
Nov 16 Cuiabá vs América M… 1-1
Nov 08 Cuiabá vs Goiás 0-1
Nov 02 Cuiabá vs Amazonas 2-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 29, 2025 Cuiabá 0 - 1 Primavera MG Matogrossense
Mar 22, 2025 Primavera MG 1 - 2 Cuiabá Matogrossense
Jan 26, 2025 Primavera MG 1 - 1 Cuiabá Matogrossense
Jan 20, 2024 Cuiabá 1 - 1 Primavera MG Matogrossense
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (18% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 18% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Primavera MG Power 0
Cuiabá Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Primavera MG Position

-3

Position Gap

5

Cuiabá Position
Home Win Rate: 25%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.