AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Matogrossense Feb 08, 2026

CEOV Operário

Home
VS
21:00

Primavera MG

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
CEOV Operário Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Primavera MG Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 88%
Standings 72%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 49%
xG: 1.77 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.2 Position gap: 6 places
High draw risk (49%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
CEOV Operário Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Primavera MG Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (25%) 2-0 (22%) 0-0 (14%) 3-0 (13%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 15%
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
Under 2.5 Goals 69%
CEOV Operário Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 CEOV Oper… vs Luverdense 0-1
Jan 31 CEOV Oper… vs União Ron… 0-0
Jan 28 CEOV Oper… vs Mixto 1-4
Jan 25 CEOV Oper… vs Nova Mutu… 3-1
Jan 21 CEOV Oper… vs Chapada 0-2
Jan 17 CEOV Oper… vs Sport Sin… 0-1
Jan 15 CEOV Oper… vs Cuiabá 1-0
Jan 10 CEOV Oper… vs Operário … 2-0
Mar 29 CEOV Oper… vs Mixto 3-2
Mar 21 CEOV Oper… vs Mixto 0-0
Primavera MG Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 05 Primavera… vs Cuiabá 1-1
Jan 31 Primavera… vs Mixto 4-0
Jan 28 Primavera… vs Operário … 2-1
Jan 25 Primavera… vs Luverdense 0-0
Jan 22 Primavera… vs Nova Mutu… 2-2
Jan 17 Primavera… vs União Ron… 0-0
Jan 14 Primavera… vs Sport Sin… 0-0
Jan 10 Primavera… vs Chapada 0-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

MASTER: CEOV Operário to win (78% confidence)

MASTER Tier
Predicted: 1-0 78% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 96
CEOV Operário Power 0
Primavera MG Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

CEOV Operário Position

+6

Position Gap

9

Primavera MG Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.